Match’s second quarter results were met with a significant positive market reaction, reflecting optimism around the company’s turnaround efforts under new CEO Spencer Rascoff. Management attributed the flat top-line performance to the early stages of a multi-phase strategic overhaul, particularly at Tinder, where a new leadership team, streamlined operations, and accelerated product releases have begun to address user engagement and product fatigue. Rascoff highlighted that Tinder’s new features, such as Double Date and enhanced trust and safety initiatives, are showing stronger engagement among Gen Z users. Hinge’s continued robust growth, with double-digit user gains and effective product innovation, was a bright spot that reinforced the company’s portfolio approach.
Is now the time to buy MTCH? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).
Match Group (MTCH) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:
- Revenue: $863.7 million vs analyst estimates of $853.7 million (flat year on year, 1.2% beat)
- Adjusted EPS: $0.71 vs analyst expectations of $0.77 (8.2% miss)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $289.9 million vs analyst estimates of $299.1 million (33.6% margin, 3% miss)
- Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $915 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $889.5 million
- Operating Margin: 22.5%, down from 23.7% in the same quarter last year
- Payers: 14.09 million, down 748,000 year on year
- Market Capitalization: $8.76 billion
While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.
Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Match Group’s Q2 Earnings Call
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Cory Alan Carpenter (JPMorgan): Asked about Tinder’s engagement among U.S. users under 30. CEO Spencer Rascoff detailed that features like Double Date are resonating with Gen Z, with 90% of users under 30 and improved match rates for women.
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Nathaniel Jay Feather (Morgan Stanley): Inquired about tracking the turnaround’s progress. Rascoff outlined a funnel-based metric approach, focusing on new registrations, active users, chats, and contact exchanges, and noted improvement in these metrics.
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Unidentified Analyst (Evercore ISI): Sought insight on the impact of face check and alternative payments. Rascoff said face check is improving user trust, while CFO Steven Bailey reported early alternative payment tests are driving a shift to web payments and net revenue gains.
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Shweta R. Khajuria (Wolfe Research): Questioned the magnitude of improvement in engagement metrics and marketing strategy. Rascoff said declines are moderating, and Bailey described reinvestment allocations across product, marketing, and expansion.
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William John Kerr (TD Securities): Asked about Hinge’s revenue acceleration. Rascoff attributed growth to AI-powered product features, focus on female experience, onboarding improvements, and global expansion.
Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters
For the coming quarters, our analysts will monitor (1) the pace of adoption and engagement for Tinder’s new features, (2) the effectiveness of Hinge’s expansion into Europe and new markets, and (3) the financial impact of alternative payment and cost-saving initiatives. The progress of trust and safety measures and the rollout of product updates across Match’s portfolio will also be critical signposts for sustained growth.
Match Group currently trades at $36.42, up from $33.72 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).
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