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PLTR Q4 Deep Dive: U.S. AI Demand and Enterprise Expansion Drive Accelerated Growth

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Data analytics company Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) reported revenue ahead of Wall Streets expectations in Q4 CY2025, with sales up 70% year on year to $1.41 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($1.53 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 15.3% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.25 per share was 8.6% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.41 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.34 billion (70% year-on-year growth, 4.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.25 vs analyst estimates of $0.23 (8.6% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $798.5 million vs analyst estimates of $701.1 million (56.8% margin, 13.9% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $1.53 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.33 billion
  • Operating Margin: 40.9%, up from 1.3% in the same quarter last year
  • Billings: $1.50 billion at quarter end, up 70.1% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $352.2 billion

StockStory’s Take

Palantir Technologies’ fourth quarter results were well received by the market, reflecting significant revenue growth driven by expanding adoption of its AI-powered platforms in the United States. Management attributed performance to rapid customer expansion, particularly in commercial and government sectors, and highlighted that U.S. business now comprises a larger share of total revenue. CEO Alexander Karp emphasized that customers are moving beyond experimentation, stating, “Our customers aren’t tentatively trying AI; they’re committing to it at scale with Palantir Technologies as the driving force.”

Looking forward, Palantir Technologies’ guidance is underpinned by ongoing demand for its AI Platform (AIP) and continued momentum in both commercial and government segments. Management expects further expansion among large enterprise clients, with additional investment in product capabilities and technical talent to support growth. CFO David Glazer noted, “We anticipate expenses to increase in 2026 as we remain committed to investing in the product pipeline and the most elite technical talent, all while delivering on our goals of sustained GAAP profitability.”

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management pointed to surging U.S. demand for its AI-powered solutions, strong customer expansion, and increased contract value as major drivers behind the quarter’s outperformance.

  • U.S. commercial acceleration: The company’s U.S. commercial segment saw rapid expansion, with customers adopting Palantir Technologies’ AI Platform for a broader set of use cases and scaling deployments across their organizations. Management highlighted that existing customers are expanding faster and new customers are starting with larger initial deals, such as a healthcare company signing a $96 million contract after two boot camps.
  • Government sector momentum: U.S. government revenue growth was driven by increased adoption of Palantir Technologies’ solutions across defense and civil agencies. Notably, the company secured a major contract with the U.S. Navy to modernize its shipbuilding supply chain, reflecting the growing importance of its platforms in mission-critical government operations.
  • Enterprise-wide AI adoption: Customers are increasingly integrating Palantir Technologies’ platforms into core business processes. Management cited an example where a construction company reported that 97% of its employees use Foundry daily, replacing multiple third-party software tools and accelerating internal development cycles.
  • Platform innovation and product enhancements: Continued investment in core offerings, such as the AI Platform (AIP), Foundry, and the Hivemind framework, enabled customers to implement new and complex use cases more rapidly, reducing project timelines from months to weeks in areas like ERP migrations and supply chain optimization.
  • Organic growth focus: The company underscored that its growth is entirely organic, with no acquisitions or co-investment strategies, enabling a direct and unencumbered relationship with clients and emphasizing product-led expansion.

Drivers of Future Performance

Management expects that robust U.S. market demand, ongoing product investment, and deepening enterprise relationships will be the primary drivers of future growth and profitability.

  • Continued U.S. expansion: The company anticipates that large-scale adoption among U.S. commercial and government clients will remain the main engine for revenue growth. Management specifically noted the accelerating pace of enterprise-wide AI integration as a key differentiator.
  • Product and talent investment: Palantir Technologies plans to increase spending on product development and hiring elite technical talent. Management believes these investments are essential for maintaining a competitive edge and supporting the broadening set of customer use cases.
  • International uncertainty and selective focus: While the U.S. market shows strong momentum, management was cautious about international expansion, citing slower adoption in Europe and Canada and indicating that most resources will be concentrated on servicing U.S. demand for now.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In upcoming quarters, our analysts are watching (1) the pace at which existing U.S. enterprise and government clients expand their adoption of Palantir Technologies’ platforms, (2) progress in product enhancements and new AI capabilities that drive additional customer value, and (3) signs of renewed traction or shifts in international markets, particularly Europe. Continued hiring of top-tier technical talent and execution on large government contracts will also be important markers of Palantir Technologies’ ability to sustain its current growth trajectory.

Palantir Technologies currently trades at $154.49, up from $148.47 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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