Can a bull market begin without the banks?

Earnings season has kicked off with reports from the major banks. The market reaction has been mixed so far. From a big picture perspective, history shows that whenever the relative performance of banking stocks have breached a major support level, such events have usually signaled periods of financial stress and bear markets.

This time, the Covid Crash saw the market fall and recover in the space of a few short months. This begs two important questions for investors.

First, the financial sector is the third largest weight in the index, behind technology and healthcare. Can a bull market begin without the participation of a major sector like this?

Brian Gilmartin pointed out that the sector represents about 10% of index weight, but 17% earnings weight, indicating that financial stocks are value stocks. What does the lagging performance of these stocks mean for the growth/value dynamic?

The full post can be found here.

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