American Physicians Service Group, Inc.

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549


FORM 10-K


x

Annual Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2009

o

Transition Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934


Commission File Number:  001-31434


AMERICAN PHYSICIANS SERVICE GROUP, INC.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)


Texas

 

75-1458323

(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)

 

(I.R.S. employer Identification No.)


1301 Capital of Texas Highway, Suite C-300, Austin Texas

 

78746

(Address of principal executive offices)

 

(Zip Code)


Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (512) 328-0888


Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:


Title of each class

 

Name of each exchange on which registered

Common Stock, $0.10 par value

 

The NASDAQ Stock
Market LLC


Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act:


Series A Preferred Stock, $1.00 par value

(Title of Class)


Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.     Yes ¨ No þ


Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act     Yes ¨ No þ


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes þ  No ¨


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically and posted on its corporate Web site, if any, every Interactive Data File required to be submitted and posted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit and post such files).  Yes ¨  No ¨





Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K (§229.405 of this chapter) is not contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of registrant’s knowledge, in definitive proxy or information statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this Form 10-K or any amendment to this Form 10-K.      ¨


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or a non-accelerated filer. See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act. (Check one):


Large accelerated filer ¨

 

Accelerated filer þ

Non-accelerated filer ¨

 

Smaller reporting company ¨


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).   Yes ¨  No þ


State the aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates computed by reference to the price at which the common equity was last sold, or the average bid and asked price of such common equity, as of the last business day of the registrant’s most recently completed second fiscal quarter.


Aggregate Market Value at June 30, 2010: $156,776,124


Indicate the number of shares outstanding of each of the registrant’s class of common stock, as of the latest practicable date.



Title of Each Class

Common Stock, $.10 par value

Number of Shares Outstanding At

February 26, 2010

6,852,607


Documents Incorporated By Reference

None




2





AMERICAN PHYSICIANS SERVICE GROUP, INC.

2009 Annual Report on Form 10-K


Table of Contents



 

 

Page

 

Part I

 

 

 

 

Item 1.

Business

5

Item 1A.

Risk Factors

17

Item 1B.

Unresolved Staff Comments

28

Item 2.

Properties

28

Item 3.

Legal Proceedings

28

Item 4.

Reserved

28

 

 

 

 

Part II

 

 

 

 

Item 5.

Market for Registrant's Common Equity, Related Shareholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities

29

Item 6.

Selected Financial Data

32

Item 7.

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

34

Item 7A.

Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk

82

Item 8.

Financial Statements and Supplementary Data

84

Item 9.

Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure

85

Item 9A.

Controls and Procedures

85

Item 9B.

Other Information

87

 

 

 

 

Part III

 

 

 

 

Item 10.

Directors and Executive Officers of the Registrant

87

Item 11.

Executive Compensation

87

Item 12.

Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters

87

Item 13.

Certain Relationships and Related Transactions and Director Independence

87

Item 14.

Principal Accountant Fees and Services

87

 

 

 

 

Part IV

 

 

 

 

Item 15.

Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules

88

 

 

 

Signatures

 

90




3





AMERICAN PHYSICIANS SERVICE GROUP, INC.


ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 10-K


FOR THE FISCAL YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2009


Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements


This Annual Report on Form 10-K, including “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, as well as assumptions that, if they do not materialize or prove correct, could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact are statements that could be deemed forward-looking statements, including statements: of our plans, strategies and objectives for future operations; concerning new products, services, or developments; regarding future economic conditions, performance, or outlook; as to the outcome of contingencies; of beliefs or expectations; and of assumptions underlying any of the foregoing.


Forward-looking statements may be identified by their use of forward-looking terminology, such as “believes,” “expects,” “may,” “should,” “would,”  “intends,” “plans,” “estimates,” “anticipates,” “projects” and similar words or expressions. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which reflect our management’s beliefs and assumptions only as of the date of the filing of this Annual Report on Form 10-K. We undertake no obligation, other than that imposed by law, to update forward-looking statements to reflect further developments or information obtained after the date of filing of this Annual Report on Form 10-K or, in the case of any document incorporated by reference, the date of that document.


The following important factors, in addition to those referenced under “Risk Factors” in Item 1A, could affect the future results of our operations and could cause those results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements:


general economic conditions, either nationally or in our market area, that are worse than expected;

changes in the healthcare industry;

regulatory and legislative actions or decisions that adversely affect our business plans or operations;

inflation and changes in the interest rate environment, and/or changes in the securities markets including the performance of financial markets affecting the fair value of our investments or making it difficult to determine the value of our investments;

uncertainties inherent in the estimate of loss and loss adjustment expense reserves and reinsurance;

significantly increased competition among insurance providers;

changes in the availability or cost of reinsurance including our ability to renew our existing reinsurance treaty or obtain new reinsurance;

failure or inability of our reinsurers to pay claims or amounts due us in a timely manner;

loss of key executives, personnel, accounts or customers; and

potential losses and litigation risk associated with our Financial Services businesses.


The foregoing factors should not be construed as exhaustive and we caution you not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report. In addition to any risks and uncertainties specifically identified in the text surrounding forward-looking statements, you should consult our other filings under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, for factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those presented.



4





PART 1


ITEM 1.  Business.


General


We were organized in October 1974 under the laws of the State of Texas. Our principal executive office is at 1301 S. Capital of Texas Highway, Suite C-300, Austin, Texas 78746, and our telephone number is (512) 328-0888. Our website is www.amph.com. We make available free of charge on our website our Annual Report on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, Current Reports on Form 8-K and any amendments to those reports filed or furnished pursuant to Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, as soon as reasonably practicable after such material is electronically filed with, or furnished to, the Securities and Exchange Commission, or the SEC. We also show details about stock trading by corporate insiders by providing access to SEC Forms 3, 4, and 5. Our stock trades on the NASDAQ Stock Market under the symbol “AMPH.” References in this annual report on Form 10-K to “we,” “our,” or “the Company” refer to American Physicians Service Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries.


We provide (1) insurance services, specifically medical professional liability insurance, and (2) financial services, including brokerage and other investment services to individuals and institutions.


Insurance Services Operations


Corporate Overview


Through our insurance subsidiary, American Physicians Insurance Company (“API”), we specialize in writing medical professional liability insurance for physicians and other healthcare providers.  API is authorized to do business in the States of Texas, where we have written business for over 33 years. We also are authorized and write business in Arkansas and Oklahoma. We became authorized to do business in Oklahoma in August 2007. We currently insure approximately 6,360 physicians and other healthcare providers, the vast majority of which are in Texas. Approximately 92% of our premiums are written through purchasing groups, which in Texas currently subjects us to less stringent state regulation of premium rates and policy forms. In 2009, approximately 5% and 3% of our premiums were written in Oklahoma and Arkansas, respectively.

 

Prior to April 1, 2007, we had operated as the attorney-in-fact manager for API since 1975.  On April 1, 2007, we acquired API in a stock transaction, thus combining our insurance management experience with an insurance underwriting entity to allow for the increased capacity for continued growth in existing markets and for expansion into new markets. The business combination was valued at $45,167,000, consisting of consideration of common and preferred stock of the Company, and was accounted for using the purchase method of accounting. The purchase price was allocated to assets acquired and liabilities assumed based on fair values at the date of acquisition. We are required to redeem at least $1 million of the preferred stock each calendar year until December 31, 2016, at which time all of the preferred stock must have been redeemed.


Prior to our acquisition, API had been organized as a reciprocal insurance exchange under the laws of the State of Texas since 1975. A reciprocal insurance exchange is an entity, similar to a mutual insurance company, which sells insurance to its subscribers and other eligible healthcare providers, who may pay, at the election of the company, in addition to their annual insurance premiums, a contribution to the exchange's surplus. These exchanges generally enter into a contract with an “attorney-in-fact” that provides for all management and administrative services for the reciprocal exchange. The Company, through a wholly owned subsidiary, was the attorney-in fact for API from its inception until the acquisition.




5




In consideration for performing services as the attorney-in-fact, API paid management fees to us equal to 13.5% of API’s earned premiums before payment of reinsurance premiums. In addition, any pre-tax profits of API would be shared equally with us (profit sharing) so long as the total amount of profit sharing did not exceed 3% of API’s earned premiums. As a result of our acquisition of API, the attorney-in-fact relationship ended and, after the first quarter of 2007, these management fees no longer affect our consolidated results of operations.  


Since the acquisition of API, our results of operations are now directly affected by premiums we earn from the sale of medical professional liability insurance, investment income earned on assets we hold, insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses relating to the insurance policies we write as well as commissions and other insurance underwriting and policy acquisition expenses we incur. For both years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008, revenues and pre-tax earnings from our Insurance Services segment, represented approximately 88% of our total revenues and substantially all of pre-tax earnings. On a pro forma basis, as if the acquisition had occurred on January 1, 2007, revenues and pre-tax earnings from our Insurance Services segment would have contributed approximately 79% and 96% of our total revenues and pre-tax earnings, respectively, for the year ended December 31, 2007.  


Products and Services


We offer medical professional liability insurance coverage, which is designed to protect our policyholders from losses and legal costs associated with medical professional liability claims. Our policies are written for one-year terms. Generally, medical professional liability insurance is offered on either a “claims made” basis or an “occurrence” basis. “Claims made” policies insure physicians only against claims that are reported during the period covered by the policy. “Occurrence” policies insure physicians against claims based on occurrences during the policy period regardless of when they are reported. We primarily offer “claims made” policies. We also provide for an extended reporting option, or tail policy, which is written on an occurrence basis to policyholders who meet certain requirements upon the non-renewal or cancellation of their policy, or upon their death, disability or retirement from practice.  


Revenues and Industry Overview


The information required by Regulation S-K Items 101(b) and 101(d) related to financial information about segments and geographic areas is contained in Note 21 of our accompanying consolidated financial statements included in Item 15 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.


We derive the majority of our revenues from earned premiums that result from issuing policies written on a claims-made basis to physicians, physician groups and other healthcare providers as well as income generated from our investment portfolio. Policies are written for a one-year term and premiums are earned on a pro-rata basis over the term of the policy. Upon termination of coverage, policyholders may purchase an extended reporting period (tail) policy for additional periods of time. These extended period coverage policy premiums are immediately earned when the policy is issued. The following table summarizes the written premiums by state for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 (in thousands):


State

 

2009

 

2008

Texas

 

$

59,914

 

$

60,903

Oklahoma

 

 

3,569

 

 

1,970

Arkansas

 

 

1,947

 

 

1,244

Total

 

$

65,430

 

$

64,117


Our results from operations are primarily driven by underwriting results, which is measured by subtracting incurred loss and loss adjustment expenses and other underwriting expenses from net earned premiums. Net earned premiums exclude premiums ceded to reinsurers. Premiums ceded to reinsurers (ceded premiums) represent amounts paid to the reinsurance companies in return for the reinsurance company assuming a portion of the risk. Substantial underwriting losses could result in a curtailment or cessation of our operations. We utilize reinsurance to provide us with increased capacity to write additional risk and the ability to write specific risks within our capital resources and underwriting guidelines



6





Investment income is a result of the performance of our assets invested in fixed maturities securities and dividends received on equity securities. Investment income is impacted by the size of the portfolio and the rate of return, or yield, on the fixed maturities portfolio and is in addition to realized gains or losses on the sale of equity or fixed maturities securities.


The financial results of medical professional liability insurers are influenced by many factors including changes in severity and frequency of claims, changes in applicable laws and regulatory reform, changes in judicial attitudes towards liability claims, and changes in inflation, interest rates, general economic and competitive conditions.


The availability of medical professional liability insurance, or the industry’s underwriting capacity, is determined principally by the industry’s level of capitalization, historical underwriting results, returns on investment and perceived premium rate adequacy. Historically, the financial performance of the medical professional liability insurance industry has fluctuated between “soft” insurance markets and “hard” insurance markets. In a soft insurance market, increased competitive conditions drive unfavorable premium rates and underwriting terms that can result in losses for insurance carriers. In a hard insurance market, competitive conditions provide for more favorable premium rates and underwriting terms that can result in increased profitability for insurance carriers. Beginning in the early 1990s, the medical professional liability insurance industry in Texas and Arkansas operated in a soft market. Similarly, the industry experienced soft markets at the national level. However, beginning in 2001 and continuing throughout 2003, the medical professional liability insurance market hardened, with a number of carriers withdrawing from the Texas market. Prices for coverage rose substantially as insurers raised premium rates in reaction to increasing losses suffered in the industry.  


Tort reform, enacted in Texas in 2003, has generally benefited medical professional liability insurers in the state by limiting certain damages that could be awarded in a medical professional liability claim. In September 2003, Texas voters approved a state constitutional amendment which gives the Texas legislature authority to set limits on damages in medical malpractice and other lawsuits. This coincided with the passage of state legislation which became effective on September 1, 2003 and which places a cap on non-economic damages in medical malpractice cases. Texas law now places a $250,000 cap for all physicians on a per case basis and a $250,000 cap for each health care institution, which collectively cannot exceed $500,000, resulting in an overall “stacked cap” of $750,000 for non-economic damages. It limits damages awarded for a plaintiff’s non-economic damages such as damages for mental anguish, pain and suffering, and loss of companionship. However, there is no limit on the amount of economic or actual damages that could be received in a claim or suit. The tort reform legislation also limits liability of physicians in cases involving product liability or mass action cases.


As a result of tort reform, new competitors entered the Texas market while existing insurers grew their capital due to generally favorable underwriting results for policies covering post-tort reform periods. We believe these factors resulted in softening market conditions in Texas beginning in 2005. We continue to experience increased price competition from existing competitors in the Texas market.




7




Competition


Our primary competitors in Texas are Medical Protective Insurance Services Inc. (“MedPro”), (a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway), Texas Medical Liability Trust (“TMLT”), ProAssurance Corporation, The Doctors Company, Advocate MD Insurance of the Southwest, Inc. (a subsidiary of First Professionals Insurance Company or “FPIC”), and Texas Medical Liability Insurance Underwriting Association, which is the state-sponsored insurer of last resort. We consider these companies to be our competitors because they are the companies to which policyholders typically move when cancelling policies with us. In Arkansas, our primary competitors are State Volunteer Mutual Insurance Company (“SVMIC”) and FPIC and in Oklahoma, our primary competitors are Physicians Liability Insurance Company of Oklahoma (“PLICO”) and MedPro. We consider these companies competitors because they are the dominant insurance providers in Arkansas and Oklahoma. We compete with these companies on a variety of factors including price, customer service, expertise in claims handling, policy coverage, risk management services and financial strength. Many of our competitors have greater financial strength and broader resources than us. In premiums written and asset size, MedPro, TMLT, ProAssurance Corporation, SVMIC, FPIC and The Doctors Company are significantly larger than us. We believe that our long-term presence in the medical professional liability market, the physician involvement in our claims management process, our innovation in policy customization and our strong focus on customer relationship management allow us to successfully attract and retain insurance customers.


We believe an emerging competitive threat to the medical professional liability insurance industry is alternative risk transfer structures such as risk retention groups, captive insurers and other self-insurance vehicles. We believe larger physician groups and other healthcare providers may consider alternative risk transfer products as they grow in both size and the insurance premiums they pay. We believe that we have been successful at retaining many of our large physician groups due to our relationship-focused model and our willingness to tailor coverage terms that meet our clients’ needs and our underwriting objectives.


Marketing and Distribution


We market our insurance products through a direct sales force and an established network of independent insurance agents who have specialized knowledge in our markets. We have a long-standing relationship with one agency through which we wrote approximately 41% of our 2009 written premium. In addition to utilizing independent agents, we generated approximately 18% of our 2009 written premiums from policies sold directly to policyholders. Over 92% of our written premiums are generated in Texas with the remainder in Arkansas and Oklahoma. Our business is composed of both solo practitioners and physicians in group practices, which we define as three or more physicians in practice together. No single customer represented more than 4.1% of premiums written in 2009.


Approximately 92% of our sole practitioner and physician group premiums are written through purchasing groups, which can be any group of individuals with similar or related liability risks who form an organization, one of whose purposes is to purchase liability insurance coverage on a group basis. In some states, such as Texas, state insurance departments have less stringent regulation of premium rates and policy forms for insurance written through purchasing groups. However, the policies must contain the same legislatively mandated provisions included in the policies that the insurer must submit for approval on a regulated basis. Arkansas and Oklahoma are not exempt states and insurers selling to purchasing groups are subject to regulation on policy forms and insurance rates.


We employ comprehensive customer relationship practices in our marketing process where we maintain regular contact directly with our larger insurance customers and track the interaction we have with all of our policyholders. We believe this helps ensure that we maintain a strong, direct customer relationship with policyholders that come through our direct distribution as well as those from our independent agent distribution. We visit the majority of our physician group clients on an annual basis in order to provide face-to-face interaction with their key insurance decision makers. We also seek regular feedback from our insurance customers to help strengthen our customer relationships and improve the quality of our insurance operations.




8




Underwriting


Our underwriting process begins with our efforts to understand the specific risks and needs of an applicant. We conduct a comprehensive review on every new application and new group submission, in addition to an on-site visit to each new group considering applying with us for insurance coverage. Our underwriting process for new accounts incorporates our underwriting team, which includes our medical director. During this process, among other pertinent information, we review every application and submission to determine the applicant’s specific risks, such as:


the nature of the physician’s practice;


claims history, including the frequency and severity of claims reported;


medical specialty;


training;


board certification;


practice territory;


disciplinary actions; and


hospital privileges.


Based on our evaluation of this information and on-site visits for group applicants, we determine the policy terms and pricing utilizing a rating model that applies specific factors for these risks. We then customize and tailor coverage and policy terms to address the specific needs of an applicant and insurance risks.


We utilize a consistent evaluation process for the approval of renewal policies that involves multiple levels of review before a policy is approved and issued. Every individual physician renewed is reviewed by our underwriting staff and medical director. Renewal policies are subject to a rating model that considers similar factors as those used for underwriting new policies.


Throughout the underwriting process, we leverage our management reporting technology and our management team’s expertise to tailor policy and coverage terms. Our exclusive focus on medical professional liability insurance, supported by over 33 years of experience, allows us to design new product offerings and modify existing policy provisions, such as coverage limits, prior acts coverage, deductibles and experience renewal incentives, to service the unique needs of our policyholders while managing the risks we insure.


Claims Management


Our claims department manages claims arising from insurance policies we have underwritten. Our claims management team is comprised of nine claims managers who average 15 years of claims management experience. We utilize a claims committee which includes qualified physicians in various medical specialties to assess the medical standard of care and various strategies of defense and resolution for claims made against our policyholders. We utilize external defense counsel with experience in medical professional liability cases to consult with us on claims and to defend lawsuits based on claims. Our claims staff oversees external defense counsel’s defense strategy and execution.




9




All potential claims go through a process by which coverage is verified prior to the vice president of claims accepting and approving the opening of a claim file. Once a claim is opened, our claims specialists will review the medical information, type of injury, amount of damages, venue, other defendant exposure and other available information to recommend an initial claim reserve amount. The initial reserve is an estimate until more information is developed and is commonly set based on our experience with similar cases. As additional information is received, claims reserves are adjusted and any adjustment in excess of $100,000 must be approved by the vice president of claims. On an as needed basis, the vice president of claims and the medical director determine which claims reserved at $150,000 or greater or any other claims as deemed necessary are presented to the physicians on the claims committee to assess the medical standard of care and the defensibility of the case.


Loss Prevention Services


We provide our policyholders with risk management and patient safety services designed to help reduce the risk of incidence and severity of claims and improve defensibility in the event our insured is named in a lawsuit. These services also enhance our underwriting process by allowing us to better understand the risk management and patient safety practices utilized by our policyholders. These products and services include:


On-site practice assessments—We require on-site assessments of all physicians in which there are concerns with practice and other loss performance issues. We also provide proactive on-site assessments at the request of any of our policyholders.


Peer-to-peer training—We provide training by medical specialists to address specific practice concerns, emerging risk issues, standards of care, patient/physician communication, and other medical practice oriented topics.


On-line continuing medical education training—We provide online courses that allow our policyholders to meet annual continuing medical education requirements. Our on-line educational services include various medical/legal courses aimed at reducing risk and enhancing patient safety.


In addition, we provide a quarterly risk management and patient safety newsletter and offer an around the clock hotline for policyholders to discuss practice issues or concerns.


Investment Portfolio


As of December 31, 2009, total investments, at fair value, were $241,061,000 with $40,164,000 held at the holding company and the remainder at API.


Our entire fixed-income portfolio consists of investment grade securities rated “BBB” or higher by the Standard and Poor’s, Moody’s or Fitch rating agencies with the exception of one corporate bond and six collateralized mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) with a combined fair market value of approximately $2,455,000. The following table reflects the composition of our fixed-income portfolio by security rating category of the issuer, as of December 31, 2009. In cases where the rating agencies had a different rating assigned to a security, the classification in the table is the lower rating.


 

 

Fair Value

(in thousands)

 

 

Rating Category

 

 

Percentage

AAA / Aaa

 

$

167,010

 

74%

AA / Aa

 

 

23,927

 

10%

A / A

 

 

22,547

 

10%

BBB

 

 

10,644

 

5%

Non-investment grade

 

 

2,455

 

1%

Total

 

$

226,583

 

100%




10




Our Insurance Services segment has an investment strategy that is reviewed and approved by the API board of directors annually. The primary goal of our investment strategy for our Insurance Services segment is to ensure that we have sufficient assets to meet our obligations to our policyholders and to provide investment income. The investment plan for our Insurance Services segment provides guidance on diversification, duration of the portfolio, sector allocation and specific restrictions, such as the size of investment in any one issue and limitations on the purchases of securities rated lower than investment grade by Moody’s, Standard and Poor’s or a comparable rating institution.


Our Insurance Services segment employs an investment strategy that emphasizes asset quality to minimize the credit risk of our investment portfolio and also matches fixed-income maturities to anticipated claim payments and expenditures or other liabilities. The amounts and types of investments that may be made by our Insurance Services segment are regulated under the Texas Insurance Code. We utilize APS Asset Management, our investment advisor subsidiary, as our fixed-income advisor. We utilize two outside investment managers to manage our Insurance Services segment’s equity portfolio.


Insurance Ratings


Insurance-specific ratings represent the opinion of rating agencies about the financial strength of a company and its capacity to meet its insurance obligations. Many large medical professional liability insurance buyers, agents and brokers use the ratings assigned by A.M. Best and other rating agencies to assist them in assessing the financial strength and overall quality of the company from which they purchase insurance. These ratings are based on factors most relevant to policyholders, agents and reinsurance intermediaries and are not specifically directed towards the protection of investors.  While these ratings may be of interest to investors, they are not recommendations to buy, sell or hold any security.  


An insurance company’s rating, and particularly its A.M. Best rating, is a potential source of competitive advantage or disadvantage in the marketplace. In addition, certain independent agents and brokers may establish a minimum A.M. Best rating for participation in a potential market. The significance of an A.M. Best rating to a given company varies depending upon the products involved, the customers and agents involved and the competition and market conditions.  In addition, the significance of an A.M. Best rating may vary from state to state.


API currently has a financial strength rating from A.M. Best of "A–" (Excellent) with a stable outlook, which is within the secure range of available ratings and represents the fourth highest of 16 rating levels. The rating process is dynamic and ratings can change. If you are seeking updated information about our rating, please visit the rating agency website at www.ambest.com.  


Regulation


General. We are regulated by insurance regulatory agencies in the states in which we conduct business, currently Texas, Arkansas and Oklahoma. State insurance laws and regulations generally are designed to protect the interests of policyholders, consumers or claimants rather than shareholders or other investors. The nature and extent of state regulation varies by jurisdiction, and state insurance regulators generally have broad administrative power relating to, among other matters, setting capital and surplus requirements, licensing of insurers and agents, establishing standards for reserve adequacy, protecting the disclosure of private consumer information, prescribing statutory accounting methods and the form and content of statutory financial reports, regulating certain transactions with affiliates, prescribing the types and amounts of investments, restricting payments of dividends and distributions and reviewing proposed acquisitions of control of domestic or licensed insurers.


Required Licensing. API is organized under the laws of Texas and is authorized in Texas, Arkansas and Oklahoma to transact certain lines of property and casualty insurance. We must apply for and obtain appropriate new licenses before we can expand into a new state on an admitted basis or offer new lines of insurance that require separate or additional licensing.




11




As an admitted insurer, in many cases, API must file premium rate schedules and policy or coverage forms for review and approval by the insurance regulators. In many states, rates and policy forms must be approved prior to use, and insurance regulators have broad discretion in judging whether an insurer’s rates are adequate, not excessive and not unfairly discriminatory. In some states, there has been deregulation, which may reduce or eliminate form and rate approval requirements in certain circumstances. The fact that our current business model involves sales through certain purchasing groups may lessen the rate filing and rate approval obligations of API in certain states.


Insurance Holding Company Laws. We operate as an insurance holding company and are subject to regulation in the State of Texas, where API is domiciled. These laws require us to register with the Texas Department of Insurance and furnish information about the operations of the companies held by us that may materially affect API’s operations, management or financial condition. These laws also provide that all transactions between API and us or any of our subsidiaries must be fair and reasonable. Transactions between insurance company subsidiaries and their parents and affiliates generally must be disclosed to the state regulators, and notice to and prior approval or absence of disapproval by the applicable state insurance regulator generally is required for any material transaction.


Payment of Dividends. State insurance laws restrict the ability of API to pay dividends or to make other payments to us. State insurance regulators require insurance companies to maintain specified levels of statutory capital and surplus. Generally, dividends may only be paid out of earned surplus, and the amount of an insurer’s surplus following payment of any dividends must be reasonable in relation to the insurer’s outstanding liabilities and adequate to meet its financial needs.


In connection with our acquisition of API, we entered into an agreement with the Texas Department of Insurance that prohibits API from paying dividends or other distributions to us with respect to API’s capital stock in any calendar year unless and until we have first complied with our redemption and dividend payment obligations to the holders of our Series A redeemable preferred stock for that year. Our agreement with the Texas Department of Insurance also provides that, until all of the Series A redeemable preferred stock has been fully redeemed and all dividends have been paid, API will not make aggregate annual dividends to us with respect to API’s common stock in excess of the lesser of 10% of API’s prior year-end policyholder statutory surplus or API’s prior year statutory net income, and in no event may such distributions exceed API’s statutory earned surplus.


Following the redemption of all of the Series A redeemable preferred stock, API’s ability to pay dividends and distributions to us on its capital stock will continue to be subject to rules and regulations generally applicable to Texas insurance companies. Under those regulations, API may not pay an “extraordinary” dividend, which is defined as any dividend or distribution, the fair market value of which, together with that of other dividends or distributions made within the preceding 12 months, exceeds the greater of (i) 10% of statutory surplus as of the prior year end or (ii) statutory net income for such prior year, until thirty days after the Insurance Commissioner of the State of Texas has received notice of such dividend and has either not disapproved such dividend within such thirty day period or approved such dividends within such thirty day period. In addition, API must provide notice to the Insurance Commissioner of all “ordinary” dividends and other distributions to shareholders within two business days after declaration and at least ten days prior to the proposed payment.


The regulatory dividend and distribution limitations described above are based on the statutory financial results of API as determined in accordance with statutory accounting principles, which differ from GAAP in various ways. Key differences relate to, among other things, deferred policy acquisition costs, limitations on deferred income taxes, admitted versus non-admitted assets and differences in reserves. Insurance regulators can block payments to us from API that would otherwise be permitted without prior approval if the regulators determine that the payments (such as payments under our underwriting management agreements or payments for employee or other services) would be adverse to the interests of policyholders or creditors.




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The Texas Department of Insurance also requires that, in addition to complying with all requirements relevant to its appointed actuary, we provide 30 days prior written notice to the department for any change in our appointed actuary until such time as we have complied with the redemption and dividend payment obligations to our preferred stockholders.


Finally, we must obtain prior approval from the Texas Department of Insurance of any material change in reserving practices or methodologies, including but not limited to any change in the level of our carried reserves in relation to the appointed actuary’s range or point estimate until such time as we have complied with the redemption and dividend payments and obligations to our preferred stockholders.


Change in Control. Many state insurance laws contain provisions, intended primarily for the protection of policyholders, that require advance approval by the state insurance commissioner of any change in control of an insurance company that is domiciled, or, in some cases, has such substantial business that it is deemed to be commercially domiciled, in that state. Before granting approval of an application to acquire control of an insurer, the state insurance commissioner will typically consider such factors as the financial strength of the applicant, the integrity of the applicant’s board of directors and executive officers, the applicant’s plans for the future operations of the insurer and any anti-competitive results that may arise from the consummation of the change in control. Generally, state statutes provide that control of an insurer is presumed to exist if any person, directly or indirectly, owns, controls, holds with the power to vote, or holds proxies representing, 10% or more of the voting shares of the insurer or of any company that controls the insurer, although this presumption of control may be rebutted. Any person who acquires 10% or more of our voting shares without the prior approval of the Texas Department of Insurance will be in violation of the laws of the State of Texas, and may be subject to remedies, penalties and sanctions, including the suspension and revocation of API’s certificate of authority to engage in business, and injunctive action requiring the disposition or seizure of the common stock or prohibiting the voting of the common stock and other actions determined by the Texas Department of Insurance.


These requirements may discourage, delay or prevent acquisition proposals, including unsolicited transactions, that some or all of our shareholders may consider desirable.


Guaranty Association Assessments. The states in which API is licensed to transact business require property and casualty insurers doing business within that state to participate in guaranty associations. These associations are organized to pay benefits owed to policyholders and claimants pursuant to insurance policies issued by insurers that have become impaired or insolvent. Typically, a state assesses each licensed insurer an amount related to the licensed insurer’s proportionate share of premiums written by all licensed insurers in the state in the particular line of business in which the impaired or insolvent insurer was engaged. The states in which API operates permit licensed insurers to recover a portion of these payments through full or partial premium tax credits.


Although the amount and timing of future assessments are not predictable, such assessments under current state insurance regulations applicable to API are fully deductible from future premium taxes. As of December 31, 2009, API has $178,000 in guaranty fund assessment credits that are available to offset future premium taxes.




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Risk-based Capital. In order to enhance the regulation of insurer solvency, the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC") has adopted a formula and a model law to implement risk-based capital (“RBC”) requirements to assess the minimum amount of capital that an insurance company needs to support its overall business operations and to assure that it has an acceptably low likelihood of becoming financially impaired. The RBC formula takes into account various risk factors including asset risk, credit risk, underwriting risk and interest rate risk. As the ratio of an insurer’s total adjusted capital and surplus decreases relative to its risk-based capital, the RBC laws provide for increasing levels of regulatory intervention such as supervision and rehabilitation, and culminating with mandatory control of the operations of the insurer by the domiciliary insurance department at the so-called authorized control level. As of December 31, 2009, the RBC ratios for API are in excess of the levels that would require any regulatory or corrective action. The NAIC has set a “no action required level” if a company’s adjusted capital and surplus exceeds 200% of its RBC calculated surplus. Texas law requires certain trend testing if a company’s adjusted capital and surplus is less than 300% of its RBC calculated surplus. We had RBC calculated at an authorized control level of $5,940,000 and statutory capital and surplus of $103,241,000, or over 17 times the minimum amount required as of December 31, 2009.


Statutory Accounting Principles. Statutory accounting principles (“SAP”) is a basis of accounting developed to assist insurance regulators in monitoring and regulating the solvency of insurance companies. SAP is primarily concerned with measuring an insurer’s ability to pay all its current and future obligations to policyholders and creditors. SAP focuses on valuing the assets and liabilities of insurers in accordance with standards specified by the insurer’s domiciliary jurisdiction.


Generally Accepted Accounting Principles are designed to measure a business on a going-concern basis. It gives more consideration to the matching of revenue and expenses than SAP does and, as a result, certain expenses are capitalized when incurred and then amortized over the life of the associated policies. The valuation of assets and liabilities under GAAP is based in part upon best estimates made by the insurer, and shareholder’s equity represents both amounts currently available and amounts expected to become available over the life of the business. As a result, the values for assets, liabilities and equity reflected in financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP may be different from those reflected in financial statements prepared under SAP.


The NAIC has established uniform statutory accounting principles. Regulators in Texas have adopted these principles, with certain modifications. SAP and related regulations determine the basis for measuring the amount of statutory surplus and statutory net income of API available to pay dividends when applying the dividend restrictions established by the Texas Department of Insurance.


Financial Services Operations


Corporate Overview


Through our Financial Services subsidiaries, we provide brokerage and investment services to institutions and high net worth individuals, trading and analysis of syndicated bank loans and trade claims, and management of fixed-income and equity assets for institutional and individual clients. We generally focus on niche markets within the financial industry where we can bring value to our customers by providing ideas, analysis and liquidity to under-followed or specialized investment situations. In our trading operations, we primarily act in a riskless principal or agent capacity, and carefully manage the limited amount of proprietary positions we assume.




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The impact of our Financial Services segment upon total revenues and earnings of the Company has significantly decreased since our acquisition of API in April 2007, due primarily to the contribution of our acquired insurance operations and the decline in the financial services industry created by the global economic crisis. Since the acquisition of API, revenues generated from the Financial Services segment declined from 25% for the year ended December 31, 2007 to approximately 10% and 9% for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008, respectively. Similarly, the percentage of total pre-tax earnings contributed by our Financial Services segment declined to 7% for the year ended December 31, 2007. While our Financial Services segment returned to profitability in 2009 after a significant pre-tax loss in 2008, substantially all of our pre-tax earnings in 2009 were derived from our Insurance Services segment.


Through our broker-dealer subsidiary, APS Financial Corporation ("APS Financial"), we focus on providing fixed-income sales and trading services targeted to institutional customers such as hedge funds, mutual funds, insurance companies, other money managers and high net worth individuals. We have established a focus on high yield corporate bonds where our research analyst provides proprietary research and our sales and trading personnel provide trading services to these and other clients. We also provide trading services for other types of debt instruments requiring specialized knowledge and analytics, including mortgage and asset backed debt, municipal debt, investment grade corporate bonds and structured debt. We clear trades through Southwest Securities, Inc. on a fully disclosed basis and we pay a fee based on the number and type of transactions executed. APS Financial is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (“FINRA”) and the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (“SIPC”), and, in addition, is licensed in forty-four states and the District of Columbia.


APS Asset Management, Inc. ("Asset Management"), our investment advisory subsidiary, provides management services of fixed-income and equity assets for institutional and individual clients on a fee basis. We can provide complete investment accounting, portfolio analytics, and performance measurement as well as trade execution for managed accounts. Asset Management is a registered investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940.


APS Capital Corp. ("APS Capital") is our subsidiary dedicated to the trading of bank loans, trade claims and distressed private loan portfolios. APS Capital provides transaction services for trade claims and bank debt of institutions that are in distressed situations or have entered into bankruptcy. This subsidiary does not trade in securities and is not registered with FINRA or any other regulatory body. APS Capital locates and matches buyers and sellers of these instruments, rather than acquiring and re-selling the instruments directly for our own account.


In our Financial Services segments, we compete with other securities broker-dealers, financial advisory firms and registered investment advisors, as well as commercial banks and thrift institutions. Competition in the segment is principally based on the experience and relationships of our professionals, our ability to efficiently and effectively execute transactions, the price of our products and services, the quality and relevance of our research, our business reputation and the strength of our customer relationships. Many of the institutions we compete with are very well known firms in our markets with much greater financial resources than us.


There is also significant competition in the financial services industry for qualified employees. We compete with other securities firms for investment bankers, sales representatives, securities traders, analysts and other professionals. Our ability to compete effectively depends on our ability to attract, retain and motivate qualified employees.




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Regulation


APS Financial and Asset Management are subject to extensive regulation under both federal and state laws. The SEC is the federal agency charged with administration of the federal securities and investment advisor laws. Much of the regulation of broker/dealers, however, has been delegated to self-regulatory organizations, principally FINRA and the national securities exchanges. These self-regulatory organizations adopt rules (subject to approval by the SEC) which govern the industry and conduct periodic examinations of member broker/dealers. Asset Management is an SEC registered investment advisor and subject to SEC examinations.  APS Financial is also subject to regulation by state and District of Columbia securities commissions.


The regulations to which APS Financial is subject cover all aspects of the securities business, including sales methods, trade practices among broker/dealers, uses and safekeeping of customers’ funds and securities, capital structure of securities firms, record keeping and the conduct of directors, officers and employees. Additional legislation, changes in rules promulgated by the SEC and by self-regulatory organizations, or changes in the interpretation or enforcement of existing laws and rules, may directly affect the method of operation and profitability of APS Financial and Asset Management. The SEC, self-regulatory organizations and state securities commissions may conduct administrative proceedings that can result in censure, fine, suspension or expulsion of APS Financial, Asset Management and/or our officers or employees. The principal purpose of regulation and discipline of broker/dealers and investment advisors is the protection of customers and the securities markets, rather than protection of creditors and shareholders.


APS Financial, as a registered broker/dealer and FINRA member organization, is required by federal law to belong to SIPC. When the SIPC fund falls below a certain minimum amount, members are required to pay annual assessments in varying amounts not to exceed 0.5% of their adjusted gross revenues to restore the fund. The SIPC fund provides protection for customer accounts up to $500,000 per customer, with a limitation of $100,000 on claims for cash balances. Customer accounts managed by Asset Management are maintained with registered broker dealers who are members of SIPC.  APS Financial maintains its customer assets with Southwest Securities, Inc., which provides SIPC and purchased supplemental coverage with protection of $20 million per account with an aggregate limit of $80 million.


Employees


As of December 31, 2009 we employed, on a full time basis, approximately 99 persons, including 60 in our Insurance Services segment, 27 in our Financial Services segment, and 12 at the holding company level. We consider our employee relations to be good. None of our employees is represented by a labor union and we have experienced no work stoppages.


Executive Officers of the Registrant


As of March 1, 2010, our executive officers were as follows:


Name

Age

Position(s)

Kenneth S. Shifrin

60

Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer, Director

Timothy L. LaFrey

54

President and Chief Operating Officer, Director

Marc J. Zimmermann

40

Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer


Our officers serve until the next annual meeting of our directors and until their successors are elected and qualified (or until their earlier death, resignation or removal).




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Mr. Shifrin has been our chairman of the board since March 1990. He has been our chief executive officer since March 1989 and he was our president from March 1989 until April 2007. He was also our chief operating officer from June 1987 to February 1989. He has been a member of the board of directors since February 1987. From February 1985 until June 1987, Mr. Shifrin served as our senior vice president – finance and treasurer. Mr. Shifrin is a director of HealthTronics, Inc. (NASDAQ: HTRN). He was vice chairman of HealthTronics, Inc. from November 2004 to March 2006, and served as the chairman of the board of Prime Medical Services, Inc. from 1989 until its merger into HealthTronics, Inc. in November 2004. Mr. Shifrin is a member of the World Presidents Organization.


Mr. LaFrey has been our president and chief operating officer as well as a director since April 2007. He previously served as a partner in the Austin office of Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP from April 1997 until April 2007, where his law practice focused on corporate governance, mergers and acquisitions, and debt and equity financings. Mr. LaFrey has extensive experience in the insurance, healthcare, technology and financial services industries. Prior to becoming an attorney, Mr. LaFrey, who also is a certified public accountant, was in the audit practice of KPMG Peat Marwick in Austin. He maintains memberships in the American Bar Association, The State Bar of Texas and the Travis County Bar Association. He also is a member of The American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, and the Texas Society of Certified Public Accountants, and is a member of the Board of Trustees of the Seton Healthcare System.


Mr. Zimmermann has been our senior vice president and chief financial officer since November 2007. He rejoined the Company in August 2003 as chief financial officer of API. He had previously been with the Company from 1997 to 1998 as director of business development of API. Prior to rejoining us, he was with Jefferson Wells, a financial and technology consulting firm. From January 1992 through February 1997, he was employed by Arthur Andersen LLP. Mr. Zimmermann is a certified public accountant.


There are no family relationships among any of our executive officers, and there is no arrangement or understanding between any of our executive officers and any other person pursuant to which he or she was selected as an officer. Each of our executive officers was elected by our board of directors to hold office until the next annual election of officers and until his or her successor is elected and qualified or until his or her earlier death, resignation or removal. Our board of directors elects our officers in conjunction with each annual meeting of our shareholders.


Item 1A. Risk Factors.


RISK FACTORS


There are a number of factors, many beyond our control, which may cause results to differ significantly from our expectations. There may also be a number of factors not described in this report that could also cause results to differ from our expectations. Any factor described in this report could by itself, or together with one or more other factors, have a negative effect on our business, results of operations and/or financial condition. The most significant of these risks and uncertainties are listed below. You should consider carefully these risks together with all of the other information included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K and the documents that we have incorporated by reference.


Our reliance on key executives could affect our results of operations.


We believe that our success depends on the efforts and abilities of our relatively small group of executive officer personnel. The loss of services of one or more of these key executives could have a material adverse effect on our business. We do not maintain key man life insurance on any of our key executives. In 2000, Kenneth S. Shifrin, our chairman and chief executive officer, was diagnosed with chronic lymphocytic leukemia and he received chemotherapy treatment during 2007. Although he is currently in remission, a worsening of the effects of this condition could reduce our access to Mr. Shifrin’s services, which could adversely affect our business.




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As a holding company, our financial condition and results of operations are dependent on our subsidiaries and our ability to pay expenses and dividends will be dependent on our ability to receive dividends from our subsidiaries, which may be restricted.


We are principally a holding company with assets consisting primarily of cash, investment securities and the capital stock of our subsidiaries. Consequently, our ability to pay our operating expenses, make redemption payments on our redeemable preferred stock and service our other indebtedness is dependent upon the earnings of our subsidiaries and our ability to receive funds from such subsidiaries through loans, dividends or otherwise. Our subsidiaries are legally distinct entities and have no obligation, contingent or otherwise, to make funds available to us for such obligations. In addition, our subsidiaries’ ability to make such payments is subject to applicable state laws and claims of our subsidiaries’ creditors will generally have priority as to the assets of such subsidiaries. Accordingly, our subsidiaries may not be able to pay funds to us sufficient to enable us to meet our obligations.


The ability of API to pay dividends to us or redeem any of the API preferred stock that we hold is subject to regulation by the Texas Department of Insurance. In addition to restrictions on dividends and distributions applicable to all Texas stock insurance companies, for so long as any Series A redeemable preferred stock is outstanding, the Texas Department of Insurance prohibits API from paying dividends or other distributions to us in respect of API’s capital stock that we hold in any calendar year unless and until we have complied with our redemption and dividend payment obligation to the holders of our Series A redeemable preferred stock for that year. Our agreement with the Texas Department of Insurance also provides that, until all of our Series A redeemable preferred stock has been fully redeemed and all dividends have paid, API will not make aggregate annual dividends to us with respect to API’s capital stock in excess of the lesser of 10% of API’s prior year-end policyholder statutory surplus or API’s prior year statutory net income, and in no event may such distributions exceed API’s statutory earned surplus. The dividend restriction for calendar year 2008 and 2009, based on API’s prior year ended statutory surplus was $7,717,000 and $8,804,000, respectively, and for those respective years dividends paid to us were $7,377,000 and $8,804,000. For the calendar year 2010, the anticipated dividend restriction is $10,324,000, based on 2009 year-end statutory surplus, and through March 1, 2010, no dividends have yet been paid to us. Accordingly, our subsidiaries may not be able to pay funds to us and, even if paid such funds may not be sufficient to enable us to meet our obligations.


We are exposed to credit risk, equity price risk and interest rate risk and as a result, our revenues may fluctuate with interest rates, investment results and developments in the securities markets such as the recent economic crisis.


We are principally exposed to three types of market risk related to our investment portfolio: credit risk, equity price risk and interest rate risk. We have exposure to credit risk primarily as a holder of fixed-income securities. Equity securities are subject to equity price risk, which is defined as the potential for loss in market value due to a decline in equity prices. A decline in the value of equity securities, evidenced by lower prices traded for the common stock of these companies, might occur for several reasons, including poor financial performance, obsolescence of the service or product provided or any other news deemed to be negative by the investing public. A decline in the value of our fixed maturities securities might occur for the same reasons above as well as due to an increase in interest rates. A material decline, other than temporary, in the value of any of our fixed maturities or equity securities or a going-concern problem regarding an issuer could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.


The values of our fixed-income securities are also subject to interest rate and other risks. As interest rates decrease, the value of the portfolio increases with the opposite holding true in rising interest rate environments.  All of our fixed-income securities are designated as available-for-sale and, accordingly, are presented at fair value on our balance sheet. Fixed-income securities may have their fair market value adversely affected due to a change in interest rates, and we may suffer losses in principal if forced to sell securities that have declined in market value due to changes in interest rates.




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The financial environment globally and in the United States continues to experience significant volatility. Our investment portfolio and the fair value of our investment holdings has been affected by these poor economic conditions and recent changes in the financial and credit markets, and we rely on the investment income produced by our investment portfolio to contribute to our profitability. Future changes in interest rates and credit quality caused by a continued market downturn may result in fluctuations in the income derived from, the valuation of, and in the case of declines in credit quality, payment defaults on our fixed maturities securities, which could have a material adverse affect on our financial condition, liquidity or results of operations.  Our investment portfolio is also subject to credit and cash flow risk, including risks associated with our investments in mortgage-backed securities. Because our investment portfolio is the largest component of our consolidated balance sheet, further deterioration of the economy and the financial and credit markets could result in additional other-than-temporary impairments that are material to our financial condition and operating results. For examples, such economic changes could arise from overall changes in the financial markets or specific changes to industries, companies or municipalities in which we maintain our investment holdings. For the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007, we recorded $2,345,000, $7,587,000 and $5,259,000 of other-than-temporary impairments (“OTTI”), respectively.


Changes in interest rates as well as continued market instability due to a prolonged economic crisis could also have an impact at our broker-dealer subsidiary, APS Financial. Since revenues at APS Financial are primarily recorded based on trading fixed-income securities, the general level of interest rates trending higher or lower in 2010 could impact our level of business in different fixed-income sectors and thus negatively affect our commission earned. A volatile interest rate environment or continued poor economic conditions in 2010 could continue to impact our financial services business as this type of market condition can lead to investor uncertainty and their corresponding willingness to commit funds.


In periods of market illiquidity and instability such as the current financial crisis, the fair value of our investments is more difficult to estimate, could result in assessments of fair value greater or less than amounts received in actual transactions and may have unforeseen consequences that we are currently unable to predict.


Investment securities traded in active markets are valued at quoted market prices. Other investment securities are valued through the use of various pricing models or based on broker indications that require the application of judgment in selecting the appropriate assumptions based on observable or unobservable market data. Volatile or illiquid markets increase the likelihood that such assumptions may not behave in historically predictable manners, resulting in fair value estimates that are overstated compared with actual amounts that could be realized upon disposition or maturity of the security.


In addition, the ultimate effects of the recent market volatility, credit crises, and overall economic downturn may have unforeseen consequences on the credit quality, liquidity and financial stability of the issuers of securities we hold or reinsurers with which we do business. As recent market experience indicates, such deteriorations in financial condition can occur rapidly, leaving us unable to react to such a scenario in a prudent manner consistent with orderly markets. This in turn could adversely and negatively affect our financial condition or results of operations.


Anti-takeover provisions in our organizational documents and Texas law could prevent or delay a change in control.


Certain anti-takeover provisions applicable to our governance could prevent or delay an acquisition of our business at a premium price or at all. These provisions are contained in our articles of incorporation. Others are contained in the Texas statutory law governing corporations. These provisions may have the effect of delaying, making more difficult or preventing a change in control or acquisition of the Company by means of a tender offer, a proxy contest or otherwise. These provisions are expected to discourage certain types of coercive takeover practices and inadequate takeover bids and to encourage persons seeking to acquire control of the Company first to negotiate with us.




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Our articles of incorporation provide that we may not engage in certain business combinations with a corporation, subsidiary of a corporation, person, or other entity which is the beneficial owner, directly or indirectly, of twenty percent or more of our outstanding voting shares unless either certain requirements are first satisfied or the transaction is approved by the affirmative vote of no less than two-thirds of the shares of our common stock present in person or by proxy at a meeting where at least 80% of our common shares are represented (in person or by proxy).


Sections 21.601 through 21.610 of the Texas Business Organizations Code provide that a Texas corporation may not engage in certain business combinations, including mergers, consolidations, and asset sales, with a person, or an affiliate or associate of such person, who is an “affiliated shareholder” (generally defined as the holder of 20% or more of the corporation’s voting shares) for a period of three years from the date such person became an affiliated shareholder unless (i) the business combination or purchase or acquisition of shares made by the affiliate shareholder was approved by the board of directors of the corporation before the affiliated shareholder became an affiliated shareholder; or (ii) the business combination was approved by the affirmative vote of the holders of at least two-thirds of the outstanding voting shares of the corporation not beneficially owned by the affiliated shareholder, at a meeting of shareholders called for that purpose, not less than six months after the affiliated shareholder became an affiliated shareholder. This anti-takeover statute may have the effect of inhibiting a non-negotiated merger or other business combination involving us, even if such event(s) would be beneficial to our shareholders.


Our geographic concentration means that our Insurance Services business performance may be affected by economic, regulatory and demographic conditions of our operations within the State of Texas.


Our insurance business is concentrated in Texas, in which we generated 92%, 95% and 99% of premiums written by API for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007, respectively. Accordingly, unfavorable economic, regulatory and demographic conditions in Texas would negatively impact our business. We focus exclusively on medical professional liability insurance. In the event there is meaningful change in the existing legislation and claims environment, our financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected. We may be exposed to greater risks than those faced by insurance companies that conduct business over a larger geographic area. For example, our geographic concentration could subject us to pricing pressure as a result of market or regulatory forces only applicable to Texas.


Our Insurance Services business is highly competitive and many of our competitors have greater financial, marketing, technological and other resources.


The insurance industry is highly competitive. Many of our competitors possess greater financial, marketing, technological and other resources. We may not be able to continue to compete successfully.


All of our revenue from the Insurance Services segment is attributable to API. Our primary competitors in Texas are MedPro (a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway), TMLT, ProAssurance Corporation, The Doctors Company, Advocate MD Insurance of the Southwest, Inc. (a subsidiary FPIC), and Texas Medical Liability Insurance Underwriting Association, which is the state-sponsored insurer of last resort. We consider these companies to be our competitors because they are the companies to which policyholders typically move when cancelling policies with us. In Arkansas, our primary competitors are SVMIC and FPIC and in Oklahoma, our primary competitors are PLICO and MedPro. We consider these companies to be our competitors because they are the dominant insurance providers in Arkansas and Oklahoma. We compete with these companies on a variety of factors including price, customer service, expertise in claims handling, policy coverage, risk management services and financial strength. Many of our competitors have greater financial strength and broader resources than us. In premiums written and asset size, MedPro, TMLT, ProAssurance Corporation, SVMIC, FPIC and The Doctors Company are significantly larger than us.  We do not have the capacity to write the volume of business equal to that of some of the other major carriers. With the implementation of tort reform in late 2003, additional companies entered the Texas market, resulting in further increases in competition. As a result of this increased competition and the effects of tort reform, we continue to face price pressure on both existing renewals and new business.




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Our largest insurance competitor in Texas, TMLT was established under the provisions of a statute that authorized a statewide association of physicians or dentists to create a trust to self-insure its members. TMLT has certain competitive advantages as a result. TMLT is subject to limited government regulation in comparison to other insurance companies, such as API, in regards to statutory financial reporting and financial examinations by the Texas Department of Insurance. TMLT further benefits from not being required to pay premium taxes or participate in the Texas guaranty association.  


The fact that we write only a single line of insurance may leave us at a competitive disadvantage and subjects our financial condition and results of operations to the cyclical nature of the medical professional liability insurance market.


We face a competitive disadvantage because we only offer a single line of insurance. Some of our competitors have additional competitive leverage because of the wide array of insurance products that they offer. For example, a business may find it more efficient or less expensive to purchase multiple lines of insurance coverage from a single carrier. Because we do not offer a range of insurance products and sell only medical professional liability insurance, we may lose potential customers to larger competitors who do offer a selection of insurance products.


Growth in premiums written in the medical professional liability insurance industry have fluctuated significantly over the past ten years as a result of, among other factors, changing premium rates. The cyclical pattern of such fluctuation has been generally consistent with similar patterns for the broader property and casualty insurance industry, due in part to the participation in the medical professional liability insurance industry of insurers and reinsurers that also participate in many other lines of property and casualty insurance and reinsurance. Historically, the financial performance of the property and casualty insurance industry has tended to fluctuate in cyclical patterns characterized by periods of greater competition in pricing and underwriting terms and conditions, otherwise referred to as a soft insurance market, followed by periods of capital shortage, lesser competition and increasing premium rates, otherwise referred to as a hard insurance market.


For the past five years, the medical professional liability insurance industry has faced a soft insurance market that has generally resulted in lower premium rates. During this five-year period, API’s rates have decreased by approximately 9% in 2005, 18% in 2006, 14% in 2007, 6% in 2008 and 4% in 2009. We cannot predict whether, or the extent to which, the recent decreases in premium rates will continue. However, any decrease in rates will reduce our revenues and cash flow from operations and may materially and adversely affect our liquidity and results of operations.


If we are unable to maintain a favorable financial strength rating or if it is lowered, it may be more difficult for our Insurance Services business to write new business or renew its existing business.


Third party rating agencies assess and rate the claims-paying ability of insurers based upon criteria established by the agencies. The financial strength ratings assigned by rating agencies to insurance companies represent independent opinions of financial strength and ability to meet policyholder obligations and are not directed toward the protection of investors. These ratings are not recommendations to buy, sell or hold any security.


Financial strength ratings are used by agents and clients as an important means of assessing the financial strength and quality of insurers. Our inability to maintain a favorable rating could adversely affect our ability to sell insurance policies. These results could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.




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If we do not effectively price our insurance policies, then our financial results will be adversely affected.


Our premium rates are established when coverage is initiated and based on factors that include estimates of expected losses generated from the policies we underwrite. We analyze many factors when pricing a policy, including the policyholder’s prior loss history, medical specialty and practicing territory. If we under-price our insurance policies, actual costs for providing insurance coverage to policyholders may be significantly higher than associated premiums. We have limited experience in Oklahoma and Arkansas which further could impact our ability to effectively price our insurance policies in these states. When initiating coverage on a policyholder, we must rely on information provided by the policyholder or previous carriers to properly estimate future claims exposure. If any information is inaccurate, we could under-price our policies by using claims estimates that are too low. As a result, actual costs for providing insurance coverage to policyholders may be significantly higher than associated premiums. We assume the risk that policies in force were written at inadequate premium rates.


If our relationships with certain of our independent agencies, one of which accounts for a significant part of our business, were terminated, our financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.


We market and sell our insurance products through a small direct sales force and a group of approximately 42 active independent, non-exclusive insurance agents. For the year ended December 31, 2009, approximately 41% of our gross premiums written were produced by one agency.


We do not have exclusive arrangements with our agents, and either party can terminate the relationship at any time. These agents are not obligated to promote our products and may also sell our competitors’ products. We must offer medical professional liability insurance products and services that meet the requirements of these agents and their customers. We must also provide competitive commissions to these agents.


Thus, our relationships with our agent partners may not continue or may continue under terms that are not as favorable to us as our current agreements. Also, if we do not maintain good relationships with the agents with whom we contract to sell our products, these agents may sell our competitors’ products instead of ours or may direct less desirable risks to us, and our revenues or profitability may decline. In addition, these agents may find it easier to promote the broader range of programs of some of our competitors than to promote our single-line medical professional liability insurance products. The loss of a number of our independent agents or the failure of these agents to successfully market our products could result in lower gross premiums written and have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations if we are unable to replace them with agents that produce comparable premiums.


Loss reserves in our Insurance Services business are based on estimates and may be inadequate to cover actual loss and loss adjustment expenses.


We must establish and maintain reserves for our estimated liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses in our Insurance Services business. We establish loss reserves in our financial statements that represent an estimate of amounts needed to pay and administer claims with respect to insured events that have occurred, including events that have not yet been reported to us. Loss reserves are estimates of the ultimate cost of individual claims based on actuarial estimation techniques and are inherently uncertain. Judgment is required in applying actuarial techniques to determine the relevance of historical payment and claim closure patterns under current facts and circumstances. We periodically review our established reserves and may adjust reserves based on the results of these reviews. If we change our estimates, these changes are reflected in results of operations during the period in which they are made. These adjustments could be significant and could be inadequate to cover actual loss and loss adjustment expenses. Reserve inadequacy could be more likely in Oklahoma and Arkansas as we have limited experience establishing loss reserves for business in these states.




22




If Texas tort reform is successfully challenged, it could materially affect our insurance operations.


Tort reforms generally restrict the ability of a plaintiff to recover damages by imposing one or more limitations, including, among other limitations, eliminating certain claims that may be heard in a court, limiting the amount or types of damages, changing statutes of limitation or the period of time to make a claim and/or limiting venue or court selection. Texas enacted legislation in 2003 specifically directed at medical professional liability reform. Among the more significant aspects of the legislation were caps on non-economic damages and caps on non-economic damages against a single institution and against all healthcare institutions combined.


The effects of tort reform have been generally beneficial to our insurance business. However, such reforms may not remain effective or ultimately be upheld by the courts. In the event that we begin experiencing an increase in claims frequency and/or severity, we will have to respond with corresponding increases to premium rate levels and may affect our ability to expand our Insurance Services business in the Texas marketplace. In addition, the benefits of tort reform may be accompanied by regulatory actions by state insurance authorities that may be detrimental to our insurance business, such as expanded coverage requirements and premium rate limitations or rollbacks.


We bear credit risk with respect to our reinsurers, and if any reinsurer fails to pay us, or fails to pay us on a timely basis, we could experience a shortage of liquidity or unexpected losses.


We transfer some of our risks to reinsurance companies in exchange for part of the premium we receive in connection with the risk. Although reinsurance makes the reinsurer liable to us to the extent the risk is transferred, it does not relieve us of our liability to our policyholders. If reinsurers fail to pay us or fail to pay on a timely basis, our financial results will be adversely affected. The ultimate effects of the recent financial and market crisis and overall economic downturn may have negative consequences on the credit quality, liquidity and financial stability of the reinsurers with which we do business. As recent market experience indicates, such deteriorations in financial condition can occur rapidly, leaving us unable to react to such a scenario in a prudent manner consistent with orderly markets. This in turn could adversely and negatively affect our financial condition or results of operations.


Prior-year favorable experiences on our variable premium reinsurance contracts may not continue to result in favorable adjustments to ceded premiums.


Our annual reinsurance contracts for 2002 through 2008 contain variable premium ceding rates based on loss experience and thus, a portion of policyholder premium ceded to the reinsurers is calculated on a retrospective basis. The variable premium contract is subject to a minimum and a maximum premium range to be paid to the reinsurers, depending on the extent of losses actually paid by the reinsurers. A provisional premium is paid during the initial policy year. The actual percentage rate ultimately ceded under these contracts will depend upon the development of ultimate losses ceded to the reinsurers under their retrospective treaties.


From April 1, 2007, the date of acquisition of API, through December 31, 2007, we recorded favorable development to ceded premiums of $10,888,000 primarily related to prior variable premium reinsurance treaties as a result of lower estimated loss and loss adjustment expenses for treaty years 2002 through 2006. For the year ended December 31, 2008, we recorded favorable development to ceded premiums of $6,802,000 primarily related to prior variable premium reinsurance treaties as a result of lower estimated loss and loss adjustment expenses for treaty years 2002 through 2007. For the year ended December 31, 2009, we recorded favorable development to ceded premiums of $4,351,000 primarily related to prior variable premium reinsurance treaties as a result of lower estimated loss and loss adjustment expenses for treaty years 2002 and 2006 through 2008. Prior-year favorable experiences on our variable premium reinsurance contracts may not continue to result in favorable adjustments to ceded premiums.




23




In addition to an adjustment to premiums ceded, estimates of ultimate reinsurance ceded premium amounts compared to the amounts paid on a provisional basis give rise to a balance sheet asset classified as “Other Amounts Receivable Under Reinsurance Contracts” or a balance sheet liability classified as “Funds Held Under Reinsurance Treaties.” Furthermore, each variable premium reinsurance contract requires a 24- or 36-month holding period before any premium adjustments or cash can be returned or paid. The ultimate settlement amount will not be determined until all losses have been settled under the respective treaties.


As of December 31, 2009, we had recorded a balance sheet asset, “Other Amounts Receivable Under Reinsurance Contracts” of $785,000 and a balance sheet liability, “Funds held under reinsurance treaties” of $2,379,000, which represent the differences between the estimates of ultimate reinsurance premiums ceded amounts for the 2002 through 2008 treaty years as compared to the amounts paid on a provisional basis. A decline in the financial condition of any of our reinsurers could result in a default of their obligations to reimburse us amounts due on our variable premium reinsurance contracts.  


Market conditions could cause reinsurance to be more costly or unavailable for our Insurance Services business.


As part of our overall risk management strategy, we currently purchase reinsurance to control exposure to potential losses arising from large risks, and to have additional capacity for growth. If we are unable to maintain our current reinsurance coverage or to obtain other reinsurance coverage in adequate amounts and at favorable rates we may be adversely affected by losses or have to reduce the amount of risk we underwrite.


Our Insurance Services business is subject to extensive government regulation.


Insurance businesses are subject to extensive regulation by state insurance authorities in each state in which they operate. Regulation is intended for the benefit of policyholders rather than shareholders. In addition to control over the amount of dividends and other payments that can be made by API, these regulatory authorities have broad administrative and supervisory power relating to licensing requirements, trade practices, capital and surplus requirements, investment practices and rates charged to insurance customers.


These regulations may impede or impose burdensome conditions on rate increases or other actions that we may want to take to enhance our operating results. In addition, we incur significant costs in the course of complying with regulatory requirements. Also, our ability to grow API through premiums and additional capacity could be limited due to surplus and risk-based capital requirements under the financial regulatory guidelines of the Texas Department of Insurance.


Currently, pursuant to an order of the Texas Department of Insurance, we must redeem at least $1 million of our Series A redeemable preferred stock each calendar year beginning in 2007, until December 31, 2016, at which time all of the Series A redeemable preferred stock must have been redeemed. We also must pay a cumulative dividend to holders of our Series A redeemable preferred stock equal to 3% of the outstanding redemption value per year. In addition, the Texas Department of Insurance has required us to place $2.5 million into an escrow account with a bank, to remain in escrow until the aggregate remaining redemption and dividend obligation with respect to our Series A redeemable preferred stock is less than the amount of such escrow balance. We have agreed that no withdrawals will be made from this escrow account without prior approval from the Texas Department of Insurance.




24




Changes in the healthcare industry could have a material impact on the results of operations of our Insurance Services business.


Our Insurance Services business derives substantially all of its medical professional liability insurance premiums from physicians and other individual healthcare providers, physician groups and smaller healthcare facilities. Significant attention has recently been focused on reforming the healthcare industry at both the federal and state levels. In recent years, a number of factors related to the emergence of managed care have negatively affected or threatened to affect the practice of medicine and economic independence of medical professionals. Medical professionals have found it more difficult to conduct a traditional fee-for-service practice and many have been driven to join or contractually affiliate with provider-supported organizations. Such change and consolidation may result in the elimination of, or a significant decrease in, the role of the physician in the medical professional liability insurance purchasing decision and could reduce our medical professional liability insurance premiums, as groups of insurance purchasers may be able to retain more risk. The passage of a significant healthcare reform bill could have a material adverse impact on our Insurance Services business.


If we are unable to successfully write policies in new states, we may not be able to grow and our financial condition and results of operations could be adversely affected.


One of our strategies is to write medical professional liability insurance in new states, either through internal growth initiatives or selective acquisitions. However, our lack of experience in a new state means that this strategy is subject to various risks, including risks associated with our ability to:


comply with applicable laws and regulations in those new states;

obtain accurate data relating to the medical professional liability industry and competitive environment in those new states;

attract and retain qualified personnel for expanded operations;

identify and attract acquisition targets;

identify, recruit and integrate new independent agents;

augment our internal monitoring and control systems as we expand our business; and

integrate an acquired business into our operations.


Any of these risks, as well as risks that are currently unknown to us or adverse developments in the regulatory or market conditions in any of the new states that we enter, could cause us to fail to grow and could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations.


The unpredictability of court decisions in our Insurance Services business could have a material impact on our results of operations.


Our results of operations may be adversely affected by court decisions that expand the liability on our insurance policies after they have been issued and priced. Additionally, a significant jury award, or series of awards, against one or more of our insureds could require us to pay large sums of money in excess of our reserved amounts. Our policy to litigate claims against our insureds that we consider unwarranted or claims where settlement resolution cannot be achieved may increase the risk that we may be required to make such payments.


We could become subject to claims for extra-contractual obligations or losses in excess of policy limits in connection with our policyholders’ insurance claims. These claims are sometimes referred to as “bad faith” actions as it is alleged that the insurance company failed to negotiate a settlement of a claim in good faith within the insured’s policy limit. Such claims could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.



25





Our Financial Services subsidiaries operate in highly competitive businesses against competitors with greater financial, marketing, technological and other resources.


Our Financial Services businesses are engaged in a highly competitive industry. We compete with numerous other broker-dealers, many of which are well known national or large regional firms with substantially greater financial and personnel resources. We also compete with a number of smaller regional brokerage firms in Texas and the southwestern United States.


In many instances APS Financial, our broker-dealer subsidiary, competes directly with these organizations. In addition, there is competition for investment funds from the real estate, insurance, banking and thrift industries. APS Financial competes for brokerage transactions principally on the basis of our research, our reputation in particular markets, and the strength of our client relationships.


There is also significant competition in the financial services industry for qualified employees. We compete with other securities firms for investment bankers, sales representatives, securities traders, analysts and other professionals. Our ability to compete effectively depends on our ability to attract, retain and motivate qualified employees.


Our Financial Services businesses are subject to market forces beyond our control, which could affect us more severely than our competitors.


Our Financial Services businesses, like other securities firms, are directly affected by economic and political conditions, broad trends in business and finance and changes in volume and price levels of securities transactions. Over the last several years, the U.S. securities markets have experienced significant volatility, most recently with the current economic crisis. As we saw in 2009 and 2008, a prolonged economic crisis and continued market downturn could have a negative impact at our broker-dealer subsidiary, APS Financial, if customers are cautious about committing funds or selling their existing market positions. Since revenues at APS Financial are primarily recorded as commissions earned on the trading of fixed-income securities, a decrease in our trading volume will result in a revenue decline. Also, when trading volume is low, our profitability is adversely affected because our overhead remains relatively fixed, despite lower compensation costs associated with commission revenues. Severe market fluctuations in the future could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results. Certain of our competitors with more diverse product and service offerings might withstand such a downturn in the securities industry better than we would.


Our Financial Services business is subject to extensive government regulation.


The securities industry is subject to extensive governmental supervision, regulation and control by the SEC, state securities commissions and self-regulatory organizations, which may conduct administrative proceedings that can result in censure, fine, suspension or expulsion of APS Financial or any of its officers or employees. FINRA regulates our Financial Services business’ marketing activities. FINRA can impose certain penalties for violations of its advertising regulations, including censures or fines, suspension of all advertising, the issuance of cease-and-desist orders or the suspension or expulsion of a broker-dealer or any of its officers or employees.


Our ability to comply with all applicable laws and rules is largely dependent on our establishment and maintenance of a system to ensure compliance with these laws and rules, as well as our ability to attract and retain qualified compliance personnel. We could be subject to disciplinary or other actions due to claimed noncompliance in the future, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.




26




The federal or state governments or self-regulatory organizations having jurisdiction over our Financial Services business could adopt regulations or take other actions, such as the failure to renew or the revocation of required licenses that would have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. In addition, our operations and profitability may be affected by additional legislation, changes in rules promulgated by the SEC, FINRA, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, the various stock exchanges and other self-regulatory organizations and state securities commissions or changes in the interpretation or enforcement of existing laws or rules.


The SEC, FINRA and various other regulatory agencies have stringent rules with respect to the maintenance of specific levels of net capital by securities broker-dealers. Net capital is the net worth of a broker or dealer (assets minus liabilities), less deductions for certain types of assets. If a firm fails to maintain the required net capital, it may be subject to suspension or revocation of registration by the SEC and suspension or expulsion by the FINRA and could ultimately lead to the firm’s liquidation. If such net capital rules are changed or expanded or if there is an unusually large charge against net capital, operations that require the intensive use of capital would be limited. Such operations may include trading activities and the financing of customer account balances. Also, our ability to pay dividends, repay debt and redeem or purchase shares of our outstanding stock could be severely restricted. A significant operating loss or an extraordinary charge against net capital could adversely affect the ability of APS Financial to expand or even maintain its present levels of business, which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.


Customers of our Financial Services business may default on their margin accounts, effectively passing their losses on to us.


Our Financial Services customers sometimes purchase securities on margin through our clearing organization, Southwest Securities, Inc. therefore, we are subject to risks inherent in extending credit. These risks are especially great when the market is rapidly declining. In such a decline, the value of the collateral securing the margin loans could fall below the amount of a customer’s indebtedness. Specific regulatory guidelines mandate the amount that can be loaned against various security types. Independent of our review, our corresponding clearing organization independently maintains a credit review of our customer accounts. If customers fail to honor their commitments, the clearing organization would sell the securities held as collateral. If the value of the collateral were insufficient to repay the loan, a loss would occur, which we may be required to fund. Any such losses could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.


We are exposed to litigation in our Financial Services business.


From time to time, we are subject to lawsuits and other claims arising out of our Financial Services business. The outcome of these actions cannot be predicted and such litigation or actions could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition. We cannot predict the effect of any current or future litigation, regulatory activity or investigations on our business. Given the current regulatory environment it is possible that we will become subject to further governmental inquiries and have lawsuits filed against us. Our involvement in any investigations and lawsuits would cause us to incur additional legal and other costs and, if we were found to have violated any laws, rules or regulations, we could be required to pay material fines, damages and other costs. We could also be materially adversely affected by the negative publicity related to these proceedings, and by any new industry-wide regulations or practices that may result from these proceedings.


One of our Financial Services subsidiaries trades bank debt and trade claims which subjects us to potential losses and litigation risk.


APS Capital Corp. (“APS Capital”), one of our subsidiaries in the Financial Services portion of our business, trades bank debt and trade claims. In that capacity, APS Capital potentially is liable for losses related to the impairment of the traded claims and for disputes that may arise during the trading process from either the holders of, or investors in, bank debt or trade claims.




27




For losses due to impairment, APS Capital may be liable for the portion of its potential profit on a trade that is proportional to any part of a traded claim that is subsequently impaired, offset, disallowed, subordinated, or subject to disgorgement (an “impairment”). Trade claims are private debt instruments representing claims by creditors against a debtor in bankruptcy. On occasions, when a trade claim has been allowed by a final, non-appealable court order, APS Capital may provide impairment protection for the full amount of a traded claim. In this case, it is possible that (1) a claim is impaired and (2) APS Capital may be unable to recover the impairment from any prior assignor of the claim.


In the process of trading or negotiating bank debt and trade claims, APS Capital is also subject to general litigation risk, which may result from disputes that arise during its trading process or from trades. APS Capital is currently party to litigation related to a disputed bankruptcy trade claim.  As a result, in 2008 we recorded an amount we believe to be sufficient to cover any future settlement regarding this disputed trade claim.


We rely on our information technology and telecommunication systems, and the failure of these systems could materially and adversely affect our business.


Our businesses are highly dependent upon the successful and uninterrupted functioning of our information technology and telecommunications systems. We rely on these systems in our Insurance Services business to process and invoice for new and renewal business, facilitate collections, provide customer service, administer claims and make payments on those claims; and, in our Financial Services business to receive and process trade orders. These systems also enable us to perform actuarial and other modeling functions necessary for underwriting and rate development.


We are currently implementing and undergoing an information and technology system conversion from our legacy system. The failure of our current system or failure to successfully implement and roll-out our new policy and claims system, could interrupt our operations or materially affect our ability to evaluate and write new and renewal business, accurately and timely invoice policyholders and/or compromise our ability to pay claims in a timely manner.  In our Financial Services business, if our systems or any other systems provided by third-parties result in the trading process slowing down significantly or failing even for a short time, our Financial Services customers would suffer delays in trading, potentially causing substantial losses and possibly subjecting us to claims for such losses or to litigation claiming fraud or negligence. Any systems failure that interrupts our operations could negatively impact our business, financial condition and operating results.


Item 1B.  Unresolved Staff Comments


None.


Item 2.  Properties


We lease approximately 32,300 square feet of office space in an office project at 1301 S. Capital of Texas Highway, Suite C-300, Austin, Texas as our principal executive offices.


We also lease approximately 1,200 square feet of office space for our Insurance Services business at 5401 North Central Expressway, Suite 316, LB #B4, Dallas, Texas.


Item 3.  Legal Proceedings


We are involved in various claims and legal actions that have arisen in the ordinary course of business. We believe that any liabilities arising from these actions will not have an adverse effect on our financial condition, or results of operations.  See Note 19 to the consolidated financial statements included herein.


Item 4.  Reserved




28




PART II


Item 5.  Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities


Market for the Company’s Common Equity and Related Stockholder Matters


Our common stock is currently listed on the NASDAQ Capital Markets under the symbol “AMPH.” The following table sets forth the range of the quarterly high and low bid prices for the last two fiscal years.


 

2009

 

2008

 

High

 

Low

 

High

 

Low

First Quarter

$21.45

 

$18.12

 

$20.97

 

$16.48

Second Quarter

$22.70

 

$18.77

 

$23.92

 

$19.17

Third Quarter

$23.68

 

$21.32

 

$23.31

 

$18.50

Fourth Quarter

$25.68

 

$22.36

 

$22.00

 

$16.42


In each of the years 2009, 2008 and 2007, we declared cash dividends of $0.30 per share of common stock amounting to total cash outlays of approximately $2,028,000, $2,096,000, and $1,416,000, respectively. Prior to 2004, we had never declared or paid any cash dividends on our common stock. The declaration and payment of any future dividends on our common stock would be at the sole discretion of our Board of Directors, subject to our financial condition, capital requirements, future prospects and other factors deemed relevant. Also, under the terms of our mandatorily redeemable preferred stock, we cannot pay any common dividends in any year until we have redeemed at least $1 million of our preferred shares and paid the 3% dividend thereon.


Performance Graph


The graph below compares, assuming $100 was invested on December 31, 2004 and assuming the reinvestment of any dividends, our cumulative total shareholder return with the total shareholder returns of all NASDAQ stocks (the “NASDAQ Total”) and of all stocks (the “Peer Index”) contained in the NASDAQ Financial and Insurance indexes, with each index being given equal weight.



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29




Authorized Capital Stock


Our authorized capital stock consists of 20,000,000 shares of common stock, par value $0.10 per share, and 1,000,000 shares of preferred stock, par value $1.00 per share.


Common Stock


As of February 26, 2010, there were approximately 6,853,000 shares of common stock outstanding that were held of record by approximately 3,400 shareholders.


The holders of our common stock are entitled to receive ratably, from funds legally available for the payment thereof, dividends when and as declared by resolution of our board of directors, subject to the preferential dividend and redemption rights of holders of our Series A mandatorily redeemable preferred stock and any other preferential rights which may be granted to holders of any preferred stock subsequently authorized and issued by us. In the event of liquidation, each share of common stock is entitled to share pro rata in any distribution of our assets after payment or providing for the payment of liabilities and any liquidation preference of any outstanding preferred stock. Each holder of our common stock is entitled to one vote for each share of common stock held of record on the applicable record date on all matters submitted to a vote of shareholders, including the election of directors.


Holders of our common stock have no preemptive rights and have no right to convert their common stock into any other securities. The outstanding shares of our common stock are duly authorized, validly issued, fully paid and non-assessable.


Series A Redeemable Preferred Stock


Our board of directors has established and provided for the issuance of a series of preferred stock, designated as the “Series A redeemable preferred stock,” which consists initially of 10,500 authorized shares. The shares of Series A redeemable preferred stock were authorized and issued in connection with our acquisition of API. As of February 26, 2010, there were approximately 7,000 shares of our Series A redeemable preferred stock, par value $1.00 per share, outstanding, that were held of record by approximately 2,200 shareholders.


Holders of Series A redeemable preferred stock are entitled to cumulative dividends thereon at the rate of 3% per annum payable on the remaining redemption value per share, in priority to the payments of dividends on the common shares. Holders of Series A redeemable preferred stock have no preemptive rights and have the same voting rights as the holders of our common stock. The shares are non-certificated and mandatorily redeemable. They must be redeemed ratably at not less than $1 million per year, with all outstanding shares being redeemed by December 31, 2016. In the event of any liquidation, the holders of Series A redeemable preferred stock receive an amount equal to the remaining redemption value plus accrued dividends before any distribution is made to the holders of our common stock. In 2007, 1,019 shares of our Series A redeemable preferred stock were redeemed for $1,058,000, which included dividends of $40,000. In 2008, 1,104 shares of our Series A redeemable preferred stock were redeemed for $1,368,000, which included dividends of $297,000. In 2009, 1,075 shares of our Series A redeemable preferred stock were redeemed for $1,230,000, which included dividends of $177,000.


Furthermore, in connection with the API acquisition, pursuant to its regulatory authority, the Texas Department of Insurance has required us to place $2.5 million into an escrow account with a bank, to remain in escrow until the aggregate remaining redemption and dividend obligation is less than the amount of such escrow balance. We have agreed that no early withdrawals will be made from this escrow account without prior approval from the Texas Department of Insurance.




30




Pursuant to its regulatory authority, the Texas Department of Insurance prohibits API from paying dividends to us on our common stock, or redeeming any of our preferred stock that is held by us, in any calendar year unless and until we have complied with the redemption and dividend payment obligation to the holders of our Series A redeemable preferred stock for that year. Furthermore, our agreement with the Texas Department of Insurance also provides that, until all of the Series A redeemable preferred stock has been fully redeemed and all dividends thereon have been paid, API will not make aggregate annual dividends to us with respect to API’s capital stock in excess of the lesser of 10% of API’s prior year-end policyholder statutory surplus or API’s prior year statutory net income, and in no event may such distributions exceed API’s statutory earned surplus.


Equity Compensation Plans


We have adopted, with shareholder approval, a stock option plan pursuant to which we grant stock options to our directors, key employees and consultants and advisors. In addition, we have also adopted a deferred compensation plan allowing for additional ownership of our common stock by our directors, key employees and consultants.


The following table represents securities authorized for issuance under those equity compensation plans, as further described in Note 16 and Note 17 to the consolidated financial statements included in Item 15 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.


Equity Compensation Plan Information

Plan Category

Number of securities to be

issued upon exercise of

outstanding options,

warrants and rights.

Weighted-average exercise

price of outstanding

options, warrants

and rights.

Number of securities remaining

available for future issuance under

equity compensation plans.

Excluding securites reflected in

column (a)

 

(a)

(b)

(c)

Equity compensation plans approved by security holders

922,000

$17.87

Note 1

417,000

Note 2

Equity compensation plans not approved by security holders

none

none

none

Total

922,000

$17.87

417,000


Note 1: Average price is for the 774,000 shares under the Stock Option Plan only, as 149,000 shares in the Deferred Compensation Plan ("deferred shares") are outright grants. Deferred shares are reflected in the financial statements at the grant date.


Note 2: As of December 31, 2009 there are 348,000, shares remaining in the Stock Option Plan and 69,000 shares remaining in the Deferred Compensation Plan.


Share Repurchase Program


We may from time to time repurchase shares of our outstanding common stock.  Our open market stock repurchases are made in reliance upon Rule 10b-18 of the Exchange Act safe harbor from certain market manipulation claims for purchases by an issuer of its own common stock. Under this rule, we may not open trading in our shares, may not trade in the last thirty minutes of the trading session, may bid no more than the higher of the current bid or last trade, and may purchase no more in a single day than 25% of the average daily trading volume for the last four calendar weeks, unless certain rules for larger block trades are followed. Our stock option plan allows us to accept shares owned by an optionee immediately prior to the exercise of an option in payment for the option exercise. Additionally, we consider unsolicited offers to sell shares back to us and make a decision on purchasing them based on the price and our business needs at the time of the offer. We give priority in our repurchases to shares offered in option exercises, followed by open market purchases and finally unsolicited offers from shareholders. We do not reissue any shares acquired in repurchases, instead canceling them upon acquisition.



31





Our original $2,000,000 share repurchase program was announced August 17, 2004 and was increased in $2,000,000 increments on December 12, 2005 and on June 30, 2006, by $1,000,000 on September 7, 2007 and by $4,000,000 on each of March 5, 2008, October 1, 2008 and March 11, 2009. The share repurchase program does not have an expiration date.


The following table reflects stock repurchases under the share repurchase program during the fourth quarter of 2009:


Period

 

(a) Total

Number of

Shares

Purchased

(Note 1)

 

(b) Average

Price Paid per

Share

 

(c) Total Number

of Shares

Purchased as

Part of Publicly

Announced

Plans or

Programs

 

(d) Maximum

Number of Shares

(or approximate

Dollar Value of

Shares) that May

Yet be Purchased

Under the Plans or

Programs

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oct. 1, 2009 - Oct. 31, 2009

 

1,524

 

$

22.63

 

1,524

 

$

3,653,000

Nov. 1, 2009 - Nov. 30, 2009

 

5,698

 

$

22.69

 

5,698

 

$

3,524,000

Dec. 1, 2009 - Dec. 31, 2009

 

27,636

 

$

22.78

 

27,636

 

$

2,894,000


Note (1): All of the 34,858 shares purchased during the fourth quarter were acquired in open market transactions.


For the period January 1, 2010 through February 26, 2010, 23,608 shares were repurchased in open market transactions at an average price of $22.02 per share leaving a maximum dollar value of $2,374,000 remaining for the future purchase of shares under the share repurchase program.


Item 6.  Selected Financial Data


The following table sets forth selected historical financial and operating data for the Company and is derived from our consolidated financial statements which management believes incorporate all of the adjustments necessary for the fair presentation of the financial condition and results of operations for such periods in accordance with GAAP. The data should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements, related notes and other financial information included elsewhere in this report. Actual financial results through December 31, 2009 may not be indicative of future financial performance.


There have been significant changes in the type of information reported and the presentation format as a result of the acquisition of API effective April 1, 2007, since we effectively became an insurance company as a result of the transaction. With the acquisition of API, our consolidated revenue and earnings are predominately derived from medical professional liability insurance provided through our Insurance Services segment. Prior to April 1, 2007, the historical results of operations of our Insurance Services segment were determined by the management fees we received from API pursuant to a management agreement and the expenses incurred in managing API’s operations such as personnel expenses, rent, office expenses and technology costs. The management agreement obligated API to pay management fees to us based on API’s earned premiums before payment of reinsurance premiums. The management fee percentage was 13.5% of API’s earned premiums. In addition, any pre-tax profits of API were shared equally with us (profit sharing) so long as the total amount of profit sharing did not exceed 3% of earned premiums. When we acquired API, our management agreement with API was terminated and our consolidated results of operations are no longer affected by management fees from API; but, rather our results of operations are now directly affected by premiums API earns from the sale of medical professional liability insurance, investment income earned on assets held by API, insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses relating to the insurance policies API writes as well as commissions and other insurance underwriting and policy acquisition expenses API incurs.  



32





Selected Consolidated Historical Financial and

Operating Data of American Physicians Service Group, Inc.


 

Year ended December 31,

(in thousands except per share data)

2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

2006

 

2005

Income Statement Data:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

$

65,430 

 

$

64,117 

 

$

50,120 

 

$

-

 

$

-

Premiums ceded

 

2,309 

 

 

1,543 

 

 

4,813 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Net premiums written

 

67,739 

 

 

65,660 

 

 

54,933 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Net premiums earned

 

68,183 

 

 

64,081 

 

 

56,039 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Investment income, net of investment expenses

 

10,109 

 

 

11,999 

 

 

8,693 

 

 

915

 

 

587

Net realized capital gains (losses) and OTTI

 

(2,532)

 

 

(7,749)

 

 

(5,256)

 

 

155

 

 

3,103

Management services

 

60 

 

 

88 

 

 

3,803 

 

 

15,555

 

 

15,514

Financial services

 

8,021 

 

 

6,193 

 

 

21,056 

 

 

16,850

 

 

18,325

Other revenue

 

170 

 

 

137 

 

 

68 

 

 

89

 

 

122

Total revenues

 

84,011 

 

 

74,749 

 

 

84,403 

 

 

33,564

 

 

37,651

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

24,978 

 

 

18,569 

 

 

13,695 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Other underwriting expenses

 

11,061 

 

 

11,074 

 

 

8,320 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Change in deferred acquisition costs

 

165 

 

 

14 

 

 

(110)

 

 

-

 

 

-

Management services expenses

 

 

 

 

 

3,823 

 

 

11,262

 

 

10,262

Financial services expenses

 

7,905 

 

 

9,749 

 

 

19,030 

 

 

15,157

 

 

16,273

General and administrative expenses

 

5,202 

 

 

5,752 

 

 

5,459 

 

 

2,106

 

 

2,603

Impairment of goodwill

 

 

 

 

 

1,247 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Total expenses

 

49,311 

 

 

45,158 

 

 

51,464 

 

 

28,525

 

 

29,138

Income from operations

 

34,700 

 

 

29,591 

 

 

32,939 

 

 

5,039

 

 

8,513

Income tax expense

 

11,835 

 

 

10,428 

 

 

11,929 

 

 

1,839

 

 

3,039

Non-controlling interests

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

6

 

 

14

Net income before extraordinary gain

 

22,865 

 

 

19,163 

 

 

21,009 

 

 

3,194

 

 

5,460

Extraordinary gain, net of tax

 

 

 

 

 

2,264 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Net income

$

22,865 

 

$

19,163 

 

$

23,273 

 

$

3,194

 

$

5,460

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income per common share

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income before extraordinary gain

$

3.30 

 

$

2.69 

 

$

3.80 

 

$

1.15

 

$

2.03

Extraordinary gain

 

 

 

 

 

0.41 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Net income

$

3.30 

 

$

2.69 

 

$

4.21 

 

$

1.15

 

$

2.03

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income before extraordinary gain

$

3.26 

 

$

2.64 

 

$

3.69 

 

$

1.09

 

$

1.86

Extraordinary gain

 

 

 

 

 

0.40 

 

 

-

 

 

-

Net income

$

3.26 

 

$

2.64 

 

$

4.09 

 

$

1.09

 

$

1.86




33





(in thousands except per share data)

Year ended December 31,

 

2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

2006

 

2005

Balance Sheet Data:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents and investments

$

259,338

 

$

231,769

 

$

223,193

 

$

25,299

 

$

24,494

Premiums receivable

 

15,678

 

 

17,186

 

 

15,946

 

 

-

 

 

-

Reinsurance recoverables

 

9,682

 

 

15,293

 

 

24,554

 

 

-

 

 

-

All other assets

 

15,074

 

 

19,306

 

 

19,105

 

 

10,977

 

 

9,011

Total Assets

 

299,772

 

 

283,554

 

 

282,798

 

 

36,276

 

 

33,505

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

88,668

 

 

92,141

 

 

101,606

 

 

-

 

 

-

Unearned premiums

 

36,341

 

 

36,785

 

 

35,417

 

 

-

 

 

-

Mandatorily redeemable preferred stock

 

6,679

 

 

7,568

 

 

8,554

 

 

-

 

 

-

All other liabilities

 

8,874

 

 

10,595

 

 

13,241

 

 

6,687

 

 

5,783

Total Liabilities

 

140,562

 

 

147,089

 

 

158,818

 

 

6,687

 

 

5,783

Non-controlling interests

 

-

 

 

-

 

 

-

 

 

21

 

 

15

Total Shareholders' Equity

$

159,210

 

$

136,465

 

$

123,980

 

$

29,568

 

$

27,707

Total common shares outstanding (in thousands)

 

6,876

 

 

7,014

 

 

7,214

 

 

2,818

 

 

2,784

Book Value per share

$

23.15

 

$

19.46

 

$

17.19

 

$

10.49

 

$

9.95


Item 7.  Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations


The following discussion should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto accompanying this report. Except for historical information contained here, the discussions in this Item 7 contain forward-looking information that involves risks and uncertainties. As discussed under “Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements,” our actual financial condition and operating results could differ significantly from these forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to, those discussed under Item 1A. Risk Factors.


General


We provide, through our wholly-owned subsidiaries, (1) insurance services, specifically medical professional liability insurance, in Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas and (2) financial services, including brokerage and investment services to institutions and high net worth individuals.


Insurance Services.


API provides medical professional liability insurance primarily in Texas, where it has written business for over 33 years. API is authorized to do business in the States of Texas, Arkansas and Oklahoma and specializes in writing medical professional liability insurance for physicians and other healthcare providers. API became authorized to do business in Oklahoma in August 2007. Historically, we operated as the attorney-in-fact manager for API since 1975. In April 2007, we acquired API, thus combining our insurance management experience with an insurance underwriting entity to allow for the increased possibility for expansion into new markets and for continued growth in existing markets.


Financial Services.


Through our subsidiaries, APS Financial Corporation, or APS Financial, APS Capital Corp., or APS Capital, and APS Asset Management, Inc., or Asset Management, we provide our brokerage and investment services to institutions and high net worth individuals.


·

APS Financial.

APS Financial is a licensed broker/dealer that provides brokerage and investment services primarily to institutional and high net worth individual clients. APS Financial also provides portfolio accounting, analysis, and other services to insurance companies and banks. We recognize commission revenue, and the related compensation expense, on a trade date basis.



34





·

APS Capital.

APS Capital engages in the trading, clearing and settlement of trades involving syndicated bank loans, trade claims and distressed private loan portfolios. Trade claims are private debt instruments representing a pre-petition claim on a debtor’s estate. We recognize commission revenue and the related compensation expense when the transaction is complete and fully funded.


·

Asset Management.

Asset Management manages fixed income and equity assets for institutional and individual clients on a fee basis. We recognize fee revenue monthly based on the amount of funds under management.


CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES.


The accompanying financial statements have been prepared in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP"). The preparation of our consolidated GAAP financial statements requires us to make estimates and judgments that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses. On an on-going basis, we evaluate our estimates, including those related to: reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses; death, disability and retirement reserves; reinsurance premiums recoverable/payable; premiums ceded; deferred policy acquisition costs, impairment of assets; bad debts; income taxes; and contingencies and litigation. We base our estimates on historical experience and on various other assumptions that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances, the results of which form the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions.


We believe the following critical accounting policies and estimates affect our more significant judgments and estimates used in the preparation of our consolidated financial statements. We periodically review the carrying value of our assets to determine if events and circumstances exist indicating that assets might be impaired. If facts and circumstances support this possibility of impairment, our management will prepare undiscounted and discounted cash flow projections, which require judgments that are both subjective and complex. Management may also obtain independent valuations.


Revenue Recognition. Prior to April 1, 2007, our Insurance Services revenues were historically related to management fees based on the earned premiums of API and included a profit sharing component related to API’s annual earnings. Management fees equaled 13.5% of API’s earned premiums before payment of reinsurance premiums plus profit sharing equal to 50% of API’s pre-tax earnings up to a maximum of 3% of earned premiums before payment of reinsurance premiums. Management fees were recorded, based upon the terms of the management agreement, in the period the related premiums are earned by API. API recognizes premiums as earned ratably over the terms of the related policy. The profit sharing component was historically recognized in the fourth quarter when it was certain API would have an annual profit. In 2007, however, since the management contract ended March 31, 2007, we recognized the quarter’s profit in March, based on our ability to fully determine the profit sharing base.


Our Insurance Services segment issues policies written on a claims-made basis. A claims-made policy provides coverage for claims reported during the policy year. Policies are written for a one-year term and premiums are earned on a pro rata basis over the term of the policy. Unearned premiums are determined on a monthly pro rata basis. Upon termination of coverage, policyholders may purchase an extended reporting period, or tail, endorsement for additional periods of time. These extended reporting period coverage endorsement premiums are earned when written.




35




Our Financial Services revenues are composed primarily of commissions on securities trades and clearing of trade claims and asset management fees. Revenues related to securities transactions are recognized on a trade date basis. Revenues from the clearing and settlement of trades involving syndicated bank loans, trade claims and distressed private loan portfolios are recognized when the transaction is complete and fully funded. Asset management fees are recognized as a percentage of assets under management during the period based upon the terms of agreements with the applicable customers.


Fair Value Measurements.  In April 2009, FASB ASC 820-10, Determining Fair Value When the Volume and Level of Activity for the Asset or Liability Have Significantly Decreased and Identifying Transactions That Are Not Orderly, was issued. It provides additional guidance to highlight and expand on the factors that should be considered in estimating fair value when there has been a significant decrease in market activity for a financial asset and identifying circumstances that indicate a transaction is not orderly. This FSP also requires new disclosures relating to fair value measurement inputs and valuation techniques (including changes in inputs and valuation techniques). FASB ASC 820-10 does not change the objective of fair value measurement. That is, even though there has been a significant decrease in market activity for a security, the fair value objective remains the same. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell a security in an orderly transaction (i.e. not a forced liquidation or distressed sale), between market participants at the measurement date under current market conditions (i.e., an exit price notion). We adopted FASB ASC 820-10 for the three months ended June 30, 2009.  


The fair value of our investment securities are determined by following the guidance and hierarchy in FASB ASC 820-10, Fair Value Measurements. FASB ASC 820-10 describes three levels of inputs that may be used to measure fair value:


Level 1

Inputs are quoted prices (unadjusted) in active markets for identical assets or liabilities that the reporting entity has the ability to access at the measurement date.


Level 2

Inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for the asset or liability, either directly or indirectly, such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities; quoted prices in markets that are not active; or other inputs that are observable or can be corroborated by observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets or liabilities.


Level 3

Valuations are developed from unobservable inputs that are supported by little or no market activity and that are significant to the fair value of the assets or liabilities.


Fair value is used on a recurring basis for our equity and fixed maturity, available-for-sale securities in which fair value is the primary basis of accounting. Fair value for these securities is the market value based on quoted market prices, when available (Level 1) or quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets or market prices obtained from third-party pricing services for identical or comparable assets (Level 2). Certain assets and liabilities are not actively traded in observable markets with listed prices or quotes and we must use alternative valuation techniques based on independent dealer quotes on the security, our own assumptions including internal pricing models and professional judgment to derive a fair value measurement (Level 3). In these instances when significant valuation assumptions are not readily observable in the market, instruments are valued based on the best available data to approximate fair value. This data would consider a risk premium that a market participant would require. We use prices and inputs that are current as of the measurement date, including periods of market dislocation. Typically, during periods of market dislocation, the observability of prices and inputs may be reduced for the instruments we hold. This condition could cause an instrument to be reclassified to a lower level during any given period. For additional discussion regarding fair value measurement, see Note 9 to the financial statements included herein.




36




Investments. In April 2009, the FASB also issued FASB ASC 320-10, Recognition and Presentation of Other-Than-Temporary Impairments (“FSP 115-2”), which replaces the requirement in FASB ASC 320-10, The Meaning of Other-Than-Temporary Impairment and Its Application to Certain Investments” for management to assert that it has the intent and ability to hold an impaired fixed maturity security until recovery with the requirement that management assert if it either has the intent to sell the fixed maturity security or if it is more likely than not the entity will be required to sell the fixed maturity security before recovery of its amortized cost basis.  


When assessing our intent to sell a fixed maturity security or if it is more likely that we will be required to sell a fixed maturity security before recovery of its cost basis, we evaluate facts and circumstances such as, but not limited to, decisions to reposition our security portfolio, sale of securities to meet cash flow needs and sales of securities to capitalize on favorable pricing.  In order to determine the amount of the credit loss for a fixed maturity security, we calculate the recovery value by performing a discounted cash flow analysis based on the expected future cash flows we anticipate to recover.  The discount rate is the original yield or the effective yield if the fixed maturity security was previously impaired.  If an OTTI exists and we have the intent to sell the security, we conclude that the entire OTTI is credit-related and the amortized cost for the security is written down to current fair value with a corresponding charge to realized loss on our Consolidated Statements of Operations.  If we do not intend to sell a fixed maturity security or it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell a fixed maturity security before recovery of its amortized cost basis but the present value of the cash flows expected to be collected is less than the amortized cost of the fixed maturity security (referred to as the credit loss), we conclude that an OTTI has occurred and the amortized cost is written down to the estimated recovery value with a corresponding charge to realized loss on our Consolidated Statements of Operations, as this is also deemed the credit portion of the OTTI.  The remainder of the decline to fair value is recorded to OCI, as an unrealized OTTI loss on our Consolidated Balance Sheets, as this is considered a noncredit (i.e., recoverable) impairment.


To determine the recovery period of a fixed maturity security, we consider the facts and circumstances surrounding the underlying issuer including, but not limited to, the following:


·

Historic and implied volatility of the security;

·

Length of time and extent to which the fair value has been less than amortized cost;

·

Adverse conditions specifically related to the security or to specific conditions in an industry or geographic area;

·

Failure, if any, of the issuer of the security to make scheduled payments; and

·

Recoveries or additional declines in fair value subsequent to the balance sheet date.


For all fixed maturities securities evaluated for OTTI, we consider the timing and amount of the cash flows. When evaluating whether our non-agency collateralized mortgage obligations (“CMOs”), including our position in Alt-A’s, are other-than-temporarily impaired, we also examine the characteristics of the underlying collateral, such as delinquency, loss severities and default rates, the quality of the underlying borrower, the type of collateral in the pool, the vintage year of the collateral, subordination levels within the structure of the collateral pool, the quality of any credit guarantors, the susceptibility to variability of prepayments, our intent to sell the security and whether it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before the recovery of its amortized cost basis. In assessing corporate fixed maturities securities for OTTI, we evaluate the ability of the issuer to meet its debt obligations and the value of the company or specific collateral securing the debt position including the fundamentals of the issuer to determine what we would recover if they were to file bankruptcy versus the price at which the market is trading; fundamentals of the industry in which the issuer operates; expectations regarding defaults and recovery rates; and changes to the rating of the security by a rating agency.  




37




For an equity security, if we do not have the ability and intent to hold the security for a sufficient period of time to allow for a recovery in value, we conclude that an OTTI has occurred, and the cost of the equity security is written down to the current fair value, with a corresponding change to realized gain (loss) in our Consolidated Statements of Operations.   We base our review on a number of factors including, but not limited to, the severity and duration of the decline in fair value of the equity security as well as the cause of the decline, the length of time we have held the equity security, any third party research reports or analysis, and the financial condition and near-term prospects of the security’s issuer, taking into consideration the economic prospects of the issuer’s industry and geographical location. For additional discussion regarding OTTI and the impact of the adoption of FASB ASC 320-10, see Note 7 herein to our consolidated financial statements.


Investment income includes amortization of premium and accrual of discount on the yield-to-maturity method for our available-for-sale investments acquired at other than par value. Amortization for loan-backed, or mortgage-backed, securities is adjusted prospectively for changes in pre-payment speed assumptions.


Business Combinations. We recorded all assets and liabilities acquired in the acquisition of API at fair value. The initial recording of other intangibles requires subjective judgments concerning estimates of the fair value of the acquired assets and liabilities.


The medical professional liability insurance policies we offer are written for only a one year period, Thus, the short term nature of the policy makes deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC) and unearned premiums short term items that are amortized over a one year period. This short time frame means that historical GAAP basis reflect fair value at the date of acquisition.


The fair values of the reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses and related reinsurance recoverables (the net loss reserves) acquired in the API transaction were estimated as of the date of acquisition based on the present value of the expected underlying net cash flows, and includes a risk premium and a profit margin. In determining the fair value estimate, management discounted API’s historical undiscounted loss reserves, to present value assuming discounting patterns actuarially developed from the historical loss data of API. The discount rate used of 4.64% approximates the risk-free treasury rate on the acquisition date for maturities similar to the estimated duration of the reserves being valued. A risk premium was applied to the discounted net loss reserves to reflect management’s estimate of the cost API would incur to reinsure the full amount of its net loss reserves with a third-party reinsurer. This risk premium is based upon management’s assessment of the inherent uncertainty in reserving for net loss reserves and their knowledge of the reinsurance marketplace and was confirmed by a reinsurance intermediary. The calculation resulted in a fair value estimate which was not materially different than the historical loss reserves and therefore did not result in an adjustment to the historical reserve amount.


Based on our review of the fair value of assets acquired in the acquisition of API on April 1, 2007, there was no goodwill and we recorded an extraordinary gain of $2,264,000 during the three months ended June 30, 2007 for the excess of net assets received over cost to acquire.


Reserve for Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense. These reserves represent our best estimate of the ultimate cost of all remaining reported and unreported claims for which we provide insurance coverage to our policyholders. The estimation of the ultimate liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses is an inherently uncertain process, does not represent an exact calculation of the liability and may not represent the ultimate cost of settling our claim obligations. For comparative purposes, we have included detailed claim and loss reserve data and analysis on a “pro forma basis” since we did not acquire API until April 1, 2007. This information is provided to highlight the development of claim and loss reserve data prior to our acquisition of API.  Any reference in this Item 7 below to “pro forma” purports to show the impact to us had we acquired API as of January 1 of the year indicated.




38




The estimate of reserves for losses and loss and loss adjustment expenses is reflective of the types of insurance policies written by us. We write our medical professional liability insurance policies predominantly on a claims-made basis. Claims-made insurance policies provide coverage for claims made and reported to the company during the period covered under the policy. We also write a small percentage of policies on an occurrence basis. Occurrence basis insurance policies provide coverage for losses that occur during the term of the policy, regardless of when the claim is reported. These occurrence policies also cover policyholders that purchase or earn, according to the terms of contract provisions, an extended reporting period, or tail endorsement, upon termination of coverage.  


For both claims-made and occurrence policies, a significant amount of time can elapse between the occurrence or reporting of an insured event and the final settlement of the claim. The time period between the occurrence of a loss and its resolution by an insurer is referred to as the claims tail. Short tail claims are reported and settled quickly, resulting in less reserve estimation variability. The longer the tail or time before the final resolution of a claim, the greater the exposure to estimation risk and hence, greater estimation uncertainty. Although our predominance of claims-made policies has a positive impact in terms of reducing claim tails, most of our policies are nonetheless regarded as having a longer tail than other lines of property and casualty insurance. This is because medical professional liability claims frequently involve litigation which may take years before a judgment or settlement is reached. Medical liability claims are typically resolved over an extended period of time, often five years or more.


When a claim is reported to us, our claims adjusters establish a case reserve for the estimated amount of the ultimate payment including legal costs associated with defending the claim. The process of estimating case reserves reflects an informed judgment based upon the experience and knowledge of the claims adjuster regarding the nature and value of the specific claim, the severity of injury or damage, the judicial climate where the insured event occurred and the policy provisions relating to the type of loss. Lines of insurance like medical professional liability often have claims with complex and technical facts and circumstances that take many years to investigate and close. The lack of information available to the claims adjusters when a claim is first reported often makes establishing case reserves difficult. As the discovery phase of the claim proceeds, better information regarding the nature and severity of the claim becomes available enabling us to establish a more appropriate case reserve for the claim. Case reserves on severe claims are also reviewed for adequacy at least quarterly by our claims committee, which includes our Medical Director, physicians with specific expertise in the specialty of the claims being reviewed, and senior management. This process of periodically evaluating and adjusting case reserves is one of the factors we consider when establishing our ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses. However, case reserves alone are insufficient in measuring our ultimate cost for losses and loss adjustment expenses.


In addition to case reserves, we also maintain reserves for claims incurred but not reported, commonly referred to as “IBNR”. IBNR is the estimated liability for (1) the ultimate cost of claims that have been reported but not yet settled, and (2) claims that have occurred but have not yet been reported. IBNR reserves are established to cover additional exposure on known and unknown claims using various actuarial loss projection models. Included in our IBNR loss reserve are estimates of the aggregate difference between our individual estimated case reserves and the amount for which they will ultimately be settled. This provision, which is included in our total IBNR reserves, comprises the majority of such reserves given our predominately claims-made coverage. Since each claim reported is settled individually based on its merits, and it is not unusual for a claim to take years after being reported to settle, an IBNR reserve is established for this uncertainty in ultimate claim cost. An additional provision in our IBNR loss reserves is included for our occurrence policies where claims have occurred but have not yet been reported.  While actuarial loss projection models vary, our general approach for calculating IBNR reserves involves calculating ultimate losses and loss adjustment costs by each accident year and reducing that amount by the amount of cumulative claims paid and by the amount of our case reserves.




39




The two components, case reserves and the reserve for IBNR claims, constitute the liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, and together represent our best estimate of the ultimate cost of settling our claim obligations as of the reporting date. The combination of changing conditions including, but not limited to, historical settlement patterns, trends in loss severity and frequency, legal theories of liability and legislative changes and other factors such as the time required for claim resolution makes the estimation of reserves inherently difficult and requires actuarial skill and judgment. We perform an in-depth review of reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses on a semi-annual basis with assistance from our outside consulting actuary.


The independent review of reserves by our outside consulting actuary plays an important role in the overall assessment of the adequacy of reserves. We establish reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses taking into account the results of multiple actuarial techniques applied as well as other assumptions and factors regarding our business. The actuarial techniques used that are material to the evaluation of reserves for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense include the following:


Loss development methods (incurred and paid development);


Loss adjustment expense development methods (incurred and paid development);


Average hindsight outstanding projection;


Frequency/severity projection methods;


Bornhuetter-Ferguson expected loss projection methods; and


Trended pure premium method.


Each technique has inherent benefits and shortcomings (i.e., biases), particularly when applied to company-specific characteristics and trends. For example, certain methods (e.g., the Bornhuetter-Ferguson and pure premium methods) are more relevant to immature accident years, and other methods (e.g., the loss development methods) provide more meaningful information for years with a greater level of maturity. Because each method has its own set of attributes, we do not rely exclusively upon a single method. Rather, we evaluate each of the methods for the different perspectives that they provide. Each method is applied in a consistent manner from period to period and the methods encompass a review of selected claims data, including, but not limited to, claim and incident counts, average indemnity payments and loss adjustment expenses.  


As part of its evaluation, our outside consulting actuary develops a central estimate and a range of reserves it believes is reasonable. In this analysis, a central estimate is first selected and the utilizing the different indications derived from the various actuarial projections, our outside consulting actuary selects a low and a high estimate. The central estimate approximates our actuaries' expected value over the range of reasonable possible outcomes and is selected from the multiple actuarial techniques as described above. The upper end of the range reflects their higher estimate of future loss and loss adjustment expenses while the lower end of the range reflects their lower estimate of future loss and loss adjustment expenses. In general, the width of a range reflects the level of variability in the underlying projections. These range determinations are based on estimates and actuarial judgments and are intended to encompass reasonably possible outcomes.




40




Because of the nature and complexities of this line of insurance and expectations about future claim results and trends, our best estimate may differ from the central reserve estimate of our independent actuary. Even minor changes in assumptions regarding these factors can have a substantial impact on the projection of the ultimate liability, especially with a long-tailed, low-frequency, high-severity line of business such as medical professional liability insurance. While our assessment may differ, our carried reserves remain within the actuarial range of the independent actuary’s selected reserve estimate. The data and analysis performed by our independent actuarial firm serves as an objective confirmation of the adequacy of our carried reserves and we utilize the actuarial point estimate and reserve ranges to monitor the adequacy and reasonableness of recorded reserves.  The reserve opinions of our independent actuary for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 have been filed with state insurance regulators along with API’s statutory financial statements.


The reconciliation between our net reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses filed with state insurance departments prepared in accordance with statutory accounting principles and those reported in our consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP is shown below:


 

Year Ended December 31,

 

2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

(in thousands)

Net statutory reserves (1)

$

80,339 

 

$

78,257 

 

$

81,513 

Less: Reinsurance recoverables on paid loss and LAE

 

(568)

 

 

(131)

 

 

(349)

Net adjusted statutory reserves

 

79,771 

 

 

78,126 

 

 

81,164 

Reinsurance recoverables on paid and unpaid loss and LAE

 

8,897 

 

 

13,796 

 

 

20,019 

Subrogation recoverables

 

 

 

219 

 

 

423 

GAAP reserves

$

88,668 

 

$

92,141 

 

$

101,606 


(1) Net statutory reserves include an adjustment for reinsurance recoverables on paid loss and loss adjustment expenses. On a statutory basis reinsurance recoverables on paid loss and loss adjustment expenses are not included as a reduction of reserves but are recorded as a statutory asset.


We continually review and update the data underlying the estimation of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves and make adjustments that we believe the emerging data supports. If reserves ultimately prove to be too high, then the excess amount will be recognized as a reduction to loss and loss adjustment expenses in the current period of operations that the change in estimate is made. If reserves prove to be inadequate in the future, we would have to increase such reserves and incur a charge to earnings in the period that such reserves are increased, which could have a material adverse affect on our results of operations and financial condition. These specific risks described above, combined with the variability that is inherent in any reserve estimate, could result in significant positive or negative deviation from our recorded net reserve amounts, and could positively or adversely impact our business, results of operations and cash flows.


We have established a net statutory reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses at $80,339,000 as of December 31, 2009 or what we believe to be the upper end of the reserve estimates, as projected by actuarial review; however, there is no assurance that such reserves will ultimately prove adequate. We have established a position of conservatively reserving to the upper-end of the reserve estimate due to the inherent judgments and uncertainties in estimating ultimate claims losses and management’s philosophy that this is the appropriate approach to reserving at the current time.  




41




We consider many factors, not just the actuarial central estimate, in determining ultimate expected losses and the level of reserves recorded. Recorded (carried) reserves are selected within our outside consulting actuaries provided range based upon the judgment of management. In addition to considering the central estimate and ranges calculated by the independent consulting actuaries, management’s evaluation includes: (1) information used to price the applicable policies, (2) historical loss trends, (3) any public data for medical professional liability insurance for the Texas, Arkansas and Oklahoma blocks of business, and (4) an assessment of the current market conditions. Management selects a best estimate with due regard for the age, characteristics and volatility of medical professional liability insurance, the volume of data available for review and past experience with respect to the accuracy of estimates. Other external factors such as economic inflation, judicial trends and legislative and regulatory changes can also have a substantial impact on our reserve estimation assumptions. For example, when tort reform is passed in a state, as was the case in Texas and recently in Oklahoma, we will estimate the impact of reform on both frequency and severity of losses. In addition, we evaluate whether or not the legislation will stand if it is legally challenged in the courts. We also consider the effects of various reinsurance treaties and the varying retention levels and co-participations we have on any given year as these will have an impact on the loss reserves we cede to our reinsurers.


Specifically, in establishing our best estimate as of December 31, 2009, we considered the following factors. First, as highlighted in the 10-year reserve development herein, API’s reserve estimates for the years 1999 through 2004 were significantly deficient. Not until recently, 2005 through 2008, have reserves trended favorably from the originally reported net liability. In addition, API has increased the number of policyholders it insures from 2,992 at January 1, 2004 to 6,363 at December 31, 2009 resulting in an approximately 113% increase in policyholder exposure over that time. Furthermore, we write approximately 70% of our premiums with physicians operating in group practices which could expose us to considerable losses resulting from one significant liability event or occurrence. Additionally, we insure predominantly surgical classes and higher risk specialties which are more susceptible to claim frequency and larger paid damages. We also recently began writing new medical liability policies in Oklahoma and Arkansas. The significant volatility in claim development patterns of API coupled with the uncertainty as to how our significant increase in policyholders and new business in Oklahoma and Arkansas will perform over time warrants a conservative position. Also, API began co-participating in the 2006, 2007, and 2008 reinsurance treaties on claims in excess of the retention of $250,000 on individual claims and $350,000 on multiple insured claims related to a single occurrence. The 2006, 2007, and 2008 reinsurance treaties provide for API retaining an additional 10% of the retention levels for 2006, 20% for 2007, and 40% for 2008. Furthermore, we increased our net retention under our 2009 reinsurance agreement from $250,000 to $1,000,000 with a $5,000,000 aggregate limit. Uncertainty in regards to how these increased participation levels and higher net retention will impact our recorded reserves were considered in determining our best estimate as of December 31, 2009.


In considering the potential sensitivity of the factors and assumptions underlying management’s best estimate of recorded loss and loss adjustment reserves, as previously mentioned, it is also important to understand that the medical professional liability sector of the property and casualty insurance industry is characterized by a relatively small number of claims with a relatively large average cost per claim. For example, at December 31, 2009, we had 6,363 policyholders and during the calendar year ended 2009 we paid a total of $12,161,000 in gross paid damages on 86 claims. Even a small change in the number of claims expected to be paid (i.e. frequency) or a small percentage change in the average cost per claim (i.e. severity) could have a significant impact on reserves and correspondingly, our financial position and results of operations. This is also the case for other key assumptions as well, such as the frequency of reported claims that will ultimately close with paid damages versus those that will close without paid damages. Historically, API has closed over 80% of claims with no paid damages. In addition, due to the relatively small number of claims ultimately resulting in paid damages and the high average cost per claim, any change in the trends of key assumptions used in estimating the ultimate values could result in a significant change in the reserve estimate.




42




Loss frequency and severity trends are important assumptions in the estimation of ultimate liability of losses and loss adjustment expenses. Claims frequency is measured in various ways. The most common measure is the number of claims reported, which is then typically adjusted for the relative exposure, either in terms of the number of insureds or earned premiums. Claims frequency is also measured in terms of the number of claims reported to us on which we make loss payments as opposed to claims on which we pay only expenses or those that we close with no payment to claimants. Claim frequency impacts not only our projection of the number of IBNR claims associated with our occurrence or tail business but is also evaluated to determine the cause of changes in frequency. In periods where claims frequency is declining, we determine the nature of the claims in decline. A drop in non-meritorious claims, for example, could have an impact on the percentage of claims that will ultimately have loss payments and could impact the projection of ultimate losses.


Claims severity is often measured on a paid, reported and ultimate basis. Paid severity represents the cost of payments associated with loss settlements and is typically measured as an average of paid losses per claim closed, per claim closed with no payment and per claim closed with an indemnity payment. Reported severity is usually measured as our average case reserve per open claim. Ultimate severity takes into account not only the severity of losses currently being paid and the losses in our open claims inventory, but also incurred but unreported claims and all remaining costs to settle these claims. One such factor we consider with low-frequency, high-severity lines of business like medical professional liability insurance is the premise that if fewer claims are reported to us, those claims are likely to have higher average severity than the average severity associated with a large population of claims. Implicit in this assumption is that claims that are still being reported are those of greater merit and potential severity while claims no longer being reported are assumed to be non-meritorious in nature and could be closed at little or no cost.  


The following table shows net case, IBNR and total reserves and various claim statistics and reserve averages for the years ended December 31, 2009, 2008 and 2007.


 

 

At and For the Year Ended December 31,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Actual

 

 

Actual

 

 

Pro forma

 

% Change

 

% Change

 

 

 

2009

 

 

2008

 

 

2007

 

2009 vs. 2008

 

2008 vs. 2007

Medical professional liability:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Number of open claims - beginning of period

 

 

585 

 

 

740 

 

 

809 

 

-20.9%

 

-8.5%

Number of reported claims

 

 

394 

 

 

381 

 

 

402 

 

3.4%

 

-5.2%

Number of claims settled with indemnity payment

 

 

(86)

 

 

(85)

 

 

(100)

 

1.2%

 

-15.0%

Number of claims settled without indemnity payment

 

 

(321)

 

 

(451)

 

 

(371)

 

-28.8%

 

21.6%

Number of open claims - end of period

 

 

572 

 

 

585 

 

 

740 

 

-2.2%

 

-20.9%

Estimated number of IBNR claims (1)

 

 

89 

 

 

85 

 

 

121 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net case reserves

 

$

44,315,689 

 

$

43,784,174 

 

$

43,473,407 

 

1.2%

 

0.7%

Net IBNR reserves

 

 

36,023,688 

 

 

34,473,255 

 

 

38,039,275 

 

4.5%

 

-9.4%

Statutory net reserve ("net reserve")

 

$

80,339,377 

 

$

78,257,429 

 

$

81,512,682 

 

2.7%

 

-4.0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average net case reserve per open claims

 

$

77,475 

 

$

74,845 

 

$

58,748 

 

3.5%

 

27.4%

Average net IBNR reserve per open and IBNR claims

 

 

54,499 

 

 

51,453 

 

 

44,180 

 

5.9%

 

16.5%

Average net reserve per open and IBNR claims

 

 

121,542 

 

 

116,802 

 

 

94,672 

 

4.1%

 

23.4%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average net paid loss per claim closed with payment

 

$

141,413 

 

$

122,602 

 

$

124,527 

 

15.3%

 

-1.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1) IBNR on unreported claim counts are estimates based on actuarial projections

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 




43




Our open claim counts of 572 at December 31, 2009 decreased by 2.2% from 585 open claims at December 31, 2008. In 2009, our claims settled (with and without indemnity) of 407 outpaced the number of reported claims of 394. This continued the claims trend that we saw in 2008 in which our open claim counts decreased by 20.9% from 740 at December 31, 2007 to 585 at December 31, 2008, the result of a relatively low 381 claims being reported in 2008 combined with total claims closed (with and without indemnity) of 536 outpacing reported claims. The changes from December 31, 2007 to December 31, 2008, showed substantially the same trend with reported claims of 402 in 2007 versus 381 in 2008. Closed claims (with and without indemnity) were 471 and 536 for 2007 and 2008, respectively. From a historical perspective it is important to note that we had 1,372 open claims (the highest number of claims in the history of API) at December 31, 2003, the year in which tort reform legislation passed in Texas. Our open claim counts have declined dramatically since the end of 2003 as the number of reported claims has decreased and while leveling somewhat in 2009, we continue to settle or close claims at an accelerated pace.   


Net case reserves were relatively flat in 2009 (up 1.2%) as compared to 2008; however, the average net case reserves continued to increase by 3.5% as the number of open cases continued to decrease. Net case reserves increased by 0.7% from December 31, 2007 to December 31, 2008 as the number of open claims continued to decrease over this period. During 2009 our IBNR reserve increased by 4.5% from $34,473,000 in 2008 to $36,024,000 in 2009. We increased our IBNR reserves based on the increase in our number of policyholders from 5,336 in 2008 to 6,363 in 2009 while reported claims stayed relatively flat with 394 and 381 reported in 2009 and 2008, respectively. During 2008 our IBNR reserve decreased by 9.4% from $38,039,000 in 2007 to $34,473,000 in 2008. While our number of policyholders continued to increase from 4,930 in 2007 to 5,336 in 2008, the number of reported claims dropped to 381 in 2008 from 402 in 2007, and the number of remaining open claims decreased to 585 at December 31, 2008 from 740 at December 31, 2007. We believe claim severity has stabilized and continues to emerge favorably for the post-tort reform years. The combination of declining reported claims and open claims resulted in a net decrease in IBNR the last three year period.


We have continued to reserve at the high end of the actuarial range, as determined by our outside consulting actuaries, which has increased our average net reserve per open and IBNR claims to $121,542 as of December 31, 2009 from $116,802 and $94,672 as of December 31, 2008 and 2007, respectively. We believe these increases are merited based on the increase in policyholder exposures and the increase in our retention limits under our reinsurance contracts over this period.  


Our higher average paid loss per claim in 2009 of $141,413 as compared to $122,602 in 2008, respectively, supports the assumption previously mentioned above that if fewer claims are reported in a given year; those claims are likely to have higher severity than those claims associated with a larger population. Implicit in this assumption is that claims reported post-tort reform, while fewer in number, are of greater merit and potential severity and claims that are no longer reported were non-meritorious in nature and were closed at little or cost.




44




The following table reflects the activity in the liability for reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses since January 1, 2007 through the year ended December 31, 2009 (in thousands):


 

At and For the Year Ended December 31,

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

Pro Forma

 

2009

 

2008

 

2007

Reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses—January 1

$

92,141 

 

$

101,606 

 

$

110,089 

Less: reinsurance recoverable on paid and  unpaid loss and LAE including subrogation

 

(14,015)

 

 

(20,442)

 

 

(29,000)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net balance—January 1

 

78,126 

 

 

81,164 

 

 

81,089 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Incurred—net of reinsurance—related to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

44,827 

 

 

39,134 

 

 

40,682 

Prior periods

 

(19,849)

 

 

(20,565)

 

 

(16,023)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net incurred

 

24,978 

 

 

18,569 

 

 

24,659 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Paid—net of reinsurance—related to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

3,568 

 

 

3,379 

 

 

3,591 

Prior periods

 

19,765 

 

 

18,228 

 

 

20,993 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net paid

 

23,333 

 

 

21,607 

 

 

24,584 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net balance—December 31

 

79,771 

 

 

78,126 

 

 

81,164 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Plus: reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid loss and LAE including subrogation

 

8,897 

 

 

14,015 

 

 

20,442 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve for loss and loss adjustment expenses—December 31

$

88,668 

 

$

92,141 

 

$

101,606 


Incurred—net of reinsurance depicts incurred loss and loss adjustment expense related to premium earned in that period, also referred to as accident year. Incurred—net of reinsurance for the prior years represents the net change in reserve estimates charged or credited to earnings in the current year with respect to liabilities that originated and were established in prior years.


Our incurred loss and loss adjustment expense for the most recent accident year of $44,827,000 in 2009 is reflective of the relative increases in the number of policyholders during the current year as compared to prior accident years of $39,134,000 in 2008 and $40,682,000 in 2007. In 2009 and 2008, we decreased our incurred loss and loss adjustment expense for prior year development by $19,849,000 in 2009 and $20,565,000 in 2008, which was primarily the result of loss severity for the 2002 through 2008 report years developing favorably compared to prior period estimates. During 2007, API recorded favorable prior year development of $16,023,000. We continue to see beneficial trends in claims frequency and relative stability in average paid loss severity as compared to pre-tort reform years.




45




The average number of claims reported and the average net claim paid with indemnity (net paid loss severity) over the last four years (2006-2009) since the passage of tort reform has averaged 425 and approximately $119,000 as compared to the four years (2000-2003) prior to tort reform in which claims reported averaged 779 and paid loss severity averaged $144,000. The effect of significant changes in claim frequency introduces a great deal of variability into our reserve estimation process. We are traditionally cautious with our assumptions concerning emerging trends in claims frequency and severity loss trends and consequently we do not immediately place much weight on the impact that any short-term declines in frequency and severity may have on our ultimate losses. However, actual frequency and severity loss trends have developed more favorably than originally anticipated. We utilize historical claims data to project future expected results. As a result, the impact of recent claims trends is moderated by historical data. We have recently experienced favorable trends of declining frequency and stable paid loss severity and the results of these trends are reflected in our reserve estimations. The impact of recent favorable trends is the main reason for the fairly stable prior years’ favorable development of $16,023,000 in 2007, $20,565,000 in 2008 and $19,849,000 in 2009.


We attempt to consider all significant facts and circumstances known at the time loss reserves are established.  Due to the inherently uncertain process involving loss and loss adjustment expense reserve estimates, the final resolution of the ultimate liability may be different from that anticipated at the reporting date. Therefore, actual paid damages in the future may yield a materially different favorable or unfavorable amount than currently reserved. While we believe that the estimates for loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are adequate as of December 31, 2009, there can be no assurance that our estimates will not change in the future given the many variables inherent in such estimates and the extended period of time that it can take for claim patterns to emerge. To illustrate this inherent uncertainty, the following tables, known as the reserve development tables, show the development of the net liability for unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses. The top line of the table shows the original estimated liabilities at the balance sheet date, including IBNR losses. The upper portion of the table shows the cumulative amounts subsequently paid as of successive year-ends with respect to the liability. The lower portion of the table shows the re-estimated amount of the previously recorded liability based on experience as of the end of each succeeding year. The estimates change as claims settle and more information becomes known about the ultimate frequency and severity of claims for individual years. A (deficiency) or redundancy exists when the re-estimated liability at each December 31 is greater (or less) than the prior liability estimate. The cumulative (deficiency) or redundancy depicted in the table, for any particular calendar year, represents the aggregate change in the initial estimates over all subsequent calendar years. The volatility of medical professional liability claim frequency and severity makes the prediction of the ultimate losses very difficult. Likewise, the long period of time necessary for medical professional liability claims to develop and be paid further complicates the reserving process.




46




The following summarizes our reserve development since our acquisition of API on April 1, 2007. Since we acquired API on April 1, 2007, reserve development data for API prior to that date is not directly applicable for us.


 

April 1,

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

 

2008

 

2009

Original Net Liability - end of year

$

81,164 

 

$

78,126 

 

$

80,339 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative net paid as of;

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   One Year later

 

18,228 

 

 

18,892 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

31,500 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Re-estimated Net Liability as of:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   End of year

 

81,164 

 

 

78,126 

 

 

80,339 

   One Year later

 

60,955 

 

 

57,973 

 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

50,865 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

 

30,299 

 

 

20,153 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Original Gross liability- end of year

$

101,606 

 

$

92,142 

 

$

88,668 

Less: Reinsurance recoverables - end of year

$

(20,442)

 

$

(14,016)

 

$

(8,329)

Original Net liability - end of year

$

81,164 

 

$

78,126 

 

$

80,339 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross re-estimated liability - latest

$

57,925 

 

$

63,772 

 

$

80,339 

Re-estimated reinsurance recoverables-latest

$

(7,060)

 

$

(5,799)

 

$

Net re-estimated liabitity - latest

$

50,865 

 

$

57,973 

 

$

80,339 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

$

43,681 

 

$

28,370 

 

$

8,329 


For comparative purposes, we have included detailed claim and loss reserve data and analysis on a “pro forma basis” since we did not acquire API until April 1, 2007. This information is provided to highlight the development of claim and loss reserve data prior to our acquisition of API on April 1, 2007.



47





 

PRO FORMA

 

1999

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

2006

 

As of

March 31, 2007

Original Net Liability - end of year

$

35,471 

 

$

37,593 

 

$

33,747 

 

$

35,030 

 

$

42,231 

 

$

56,349 

 

$

65,933 

 

$

81,089 

 

$

86,036 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative net paid as of;

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   One Year later

 

21,805 

 

 

27,998 

 

 

23,360 

 

 

31,665 

 

 

34,965 

 

 

30,634 

 

 

20,074 

 

 

20,993 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

40,156 

 

 

41,575 

 

 

40,278 

 

 

48,023 

 

 

55,034 

 

 

43,409 

 

 

30,439 

 

 

33,188 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

44,562 

 

 

47,614 

 

 

45,952 

 

 

54,926 

 

 

62,226 

 

 

49,768 

 

 

35,365 

 

 

38,553 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

46,015 

 

 

50,520 

 

 

48,503 

 

 

57,390 

 

 

67,291 

 

 

52,203 

 

 

37,679 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

47,670 

 

 

51,090 

 

 

49,417 

 

 

59,735 

 

 

71,052 

 

 

53,182 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

47,905 

 

 

51,674 

 

 

50,869 

 

 

61,707 

 

 

72,129 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

48,520 

 

 

52,800 

 

 

52,459 

 

 

62,767 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

49,435 

 

 

54,220 

 

 

54,898 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

49,517 

 

 

55,334 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

48,887 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Re-estimated Net Liability as of:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   End of year

 

35,471 

 

 

37,593 

 

 

33,747 

 

 

35,030 

 

 

42,231 

 

 

56,349 

 

 

65,933 

 

 

81,089 

 

 

   One Year later

 

37,248 

 

 

39,708 

 

 

42,155 

 

 

46,955 

 

 

68,083 

 

 

73,957 

 

 

63,061 

 

 

65,939 

 

 

 

   Two Years later

 

41,837 

 

 

48,411 

 

 

45,826 

 

 

61,294 

 

 

79,041 

 

 

69,525 

 

 

50,858 

 

 

52,861 

 

 

 

   Three Years later

 

47,540 

 

 

50,926 

 

 

54,212 

 

 

64,379 

 

 

81,888 

 

 

61,752 

 

 

45,884 

 

 

48,334 

 

 

 

   Four Years later

 

48,214 

 

 

55,846 

 

 

55,618 

 

 

66,557 

 

 

78,112 

 

 

59,040 

 

 

42,758 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Five Years later

 

51,101 

 

 

56,163 

 

 

54,762 

 

 

64,539 

 

 

77,189 

 

 

56,176 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Six Years later

 

51,064 

 

 

55,236 

 

 

53,894 

 

 

65,249 

 

 

74,621 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Seven Years later

 

50,551 

 

 

55,000 

 

 

54,533 

 

 

63,921 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Eight Years later

 

50,486 

 

 

55,605 

 

 

55,293 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Nine Years later

 

50,485 

 

 

55,711 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Ten Years later

 

49,222 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

 

(13,751)

 

 

(18,118)

 

 

(21,546)

 

 

(28,891)

 

 

(32,390)

 

 

173 

 

 

23,175 

 

 

32,755 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Original Gross liability- end of year

$

54,132 

 

$

64,335 

 

$

61,701 

 

$

54,186 

 

$

61,313 

 

$

69,445 

 

$

95,628 

 

$

110,089 

 

$

116,226 

Less: Reinsurance recoverables - end of year

 

(18,661)

 

 

(26,742)

 

 

(27,954)

 

 

(19,156)

 

 

(19,082)

 

 

(13,096)

 

 

(29,695)

 

 

(29,000)

 

 

(30,190)

Original Net liability - end of year

$

35,471 

 

$

37,593 

 

$

33,747 

 

$

35,030 

 

$

42,231 

 

$

56,349 

 

$

65,933 

 

$

81,089 

 

$

86,036 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross re-estimated liability - latest

$

65,886 

 

$

69,801 

 

$

65,122 

 

$

74,713 

 

$

82,856 

 

$

63,200 

 

$

49,169 

 

$

55,785 

 

 

 

Re-estimated reinsurance recoverables-latest

 

(16,664)

 

 

(14,090)

 

 

(9,829)

 

 

(10,792)

 

 

(8,235)

 

 

(7,024)

 

 

(6,411)

 

 

(7,451)

 

 

 

Net re-estimated liabitity - latest

$

49,222 

 

$

55,711 

 

$

55,293 

 

$

63,921 

 

$

74,621 

 

$

56,176 

 

$

42,758 

 

$

48,334 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross cumulative (deficiency) redundancy

$

(11,754)

 

$

(5,466)

 

$

(3,421)

 

$

(20,527)

 

$

(21,543)

 

$

6,245 

 

$

46,459 

 

$

54,304 

 

 

 


The above tables do not present accident year or policy year development data but are shown on a calendar year basis. Conditions and trends that have affected the development of liabilities in the past may not necessarily occur in the future. Accordingly, it may not be appropriate to extrapolate future redundancies or deficiencies based on these tables.


Prior to our acquisition on April 1, 2007, API had been organized as a Texas reciprocal insurance exchange since its formation in 1975. A reciprocal insurance exchange is an entity, similar to a mutual insurance company, which sells insurance to its subscribers and other eligible healthcare providers, who may pay, at the election of the company, a contribution to the company’s surplus, in addition to their annual premiums.


As noted in the pro forma table above, API’s net reserve estimates for the years 1998 through 2003 were significantly deficient. During this period, API, as well as the medical professional liability industry as a whole, saw increased frequency and claims severity trends on its claims outstanding. API began to address these concerns beginning in 2000 through 2003 with rate increases averaging 22% per year. API also employed stricter underwriting standards including exiting certain specialties, limiting coverage in geographical areas and reducing the policy limits options offered to insureds.


In 2003, Texas voters approved a constitutional amendment providing for tort reform, which gave the Texas Legislature authority to set limits on damages in medical malpractice and other lawsuits. This coincided with the passage of state legislation which became effective on September 1, 2003 and which places a cap on non-economic damages in medical malpractice cases.




48




Prior to the passage of Texas tort reform in 2003, API saw a significant increase in the number claims reported as claimants were attempting to beat the filing deadline prior to tort reform going into effect. This has resulted in significant adverse development from the originally reported net liability for 2003.


Beginning in 2004, we have seen favorable decreases in the number of claims reported each year as compared to historical reported claim development patterns.


While Texas tort reform has generally benefited API due to a lower number of reported claims and stable severity trends, it has increased our exposure to estimation risk and hence, greater estimation uncertainty in regards to loss reserves. Historically deficient trends in our loss reserves may not be indicative of future loss trends in a post-tort reform environment.


During 2006 through 2009, due to improved underwriting practices coupled with tort reform in Texas, we have recognized favorable development related to previously established reserves for accident years 2004 through 2008. Ultimately, as actual results have proven better than suggested historical trends, redundancies have developed, as evident from the favorable trend in our loss reserves from the originally reported net liability in 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008.


The table below shows our recorded net reserves at December 31, 2009 and December 31, 2008, the actuarial central estimate and the high and low end of the actuarial reserve range, as determined by our independent actuaries (in thousands):


 

December 31, 2009

 

Recorded

 

Actuarial

 

Low End of

 

High End of

 

Net Reserves

 

Central Estimate

 

Actuarial Range

 

Actuarial Range

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total net reserves

$

80,339

 

$

66,452

 

$

54,127

 

$

80,667

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2008

 

Recorded

 

Actuarial

 

Low End of

 

High End of

 

Net Reserves

 

Central Estimate

 

Actuarial Range

 

Actuarial Range

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total net reserves

$

78,257

 

$

64,396

 

$

50,016

 

$

78,257


There are several limitations to interpreting reserve ranges. The reserve range represents a range of possible outcomes and while from an actuarial standpoint, a central estimate is considered the expected value over the range of reasonable possible outcomes.  There can be no assurance that reserves will develop to this central estimate or within this reserve range.




49




To highlight the range of possible outcomes in our reserves, our outside consulting actuary models a probability distribution along various confidence levels to calculate the inherent variability in our loss reserves. This probability distribution does not contemplate factors that are not representative in our historical data base. These factors include items such as our significant increase in policyholders since 2004, our changes in the mix of business written or the impact of our increased retention due to changes in our reinsurance structure. These additional variables add to the potential variability of the results and increase the overall uncertainty of the estimate.  Due to the correlation between reserving variables and how they inter-relate to one another, it is neither practical nor meaningful to isolate and demonstrate the impact of changes in a particular assumption such as claims frequency or severity or other specific parameters such as the effect of tort reform in calculating the reserve estimate. However, based on our historical development patterns, the probability distribution shows the impact if actual claims experience ultimately develops either favorably or unfavorably from our recorded reserves.  Our recorded net reserves at December 31, 2009 of $80,339,000 (77% confidence level) are carried approximately 21% higher than the actuarial central estimate of $66,452,000 (51% confidence level).  Should favorable development continue at post-tort reform levels, our expectation is that our carried reserves would trend downward toward the actuarial central estimate. Should adverse development occur such as either an erosion of the tort reform and/or one of the previously identified risks not inherent in the distribution, the outcome could be higher than the carried reserves.  A result of $92,390,000 (15% higher than the recorded net reserves at December 31, 2009), represents a confidence level of 90%. These results show the wide dispersion of possible outcomes at reasonable levels of confidence given the inherent uncertainty of loss reserves in the medical professional liability line of insurance.  This scenario is reasonably conceivable due to a significant liability event occurring, such as an unexpected adverse court decision that impacts our open claims or the occurrence of an unusually large number of liability losses in one reporting period or a single event involving multiple insureds. The following table shows the effects on pre-tax income if the recorded reserves as of December 31, 2009 develop under these scenarios:


 

 

Increase

 

 

(Decrease) in

 

 

Pre-tax Income

 

 

(in thousands)

Actuarial Central Estimate

$

14,024 

15% Higher than Recorded Net Reserves

$

(11,690)


Reinsurance Premiums Ceded. We enter into reinsurance agreements whereby other insurance entities agree to assume a portion of the risk associated with the policies issued by API. In return, we agree to pay a premium to the reinsurers. We utilize reinsurance to control exposure to potential losses arising from large risks, and to have additional capacity for growth. We remain responsible for the ultimate risk on its policies and would be responsible for losses and loss adjustment expenses should a reinsurer fail to pay its obligations. Reinsurance agreements are also subject to risk transfer analysis in order to be recognized as traditional reinsurance for GAAP or statutory accounting purposes. Risk transfer standards require that (a) the reinsurer assumes significant insurance risk (underwriting and timing risk) under the reinsured portions of the underlying insurance agreements; and (b) it is reasonably possible that the reinsurer may realize a significant loss from the transaction. Whether a reinsurance agreement involves risk transfer is determined by management, with assistance from our outside consulting actuaries, utilizing a comprehensive set of standards. We believe that all of our reinsurance agreements contain the appropriate risk transfer requirements.


Under API’s primary medical professional liability reinsurance contract or excess of loss treaty, certain premiums are ceded to other insurance companies under the terms of the reinsurance agreement. The 2009 reinsurance agreement is a fixed-rate treaty and provides 100% coverage in excess of our retention of $1,000,000 with a $5,000,000 aggregate limit. Prior to 2009, our insurance subsidiary, API entered into reinsurance contracts, which provided for losses in excess of API’s retention of $250,000 on individual claims and beginning in 2002, $350,000 on multiple insured claims related to a single occurrence. The 2006, 2007, and 2008 reinsurance treaties provide for these same terms with API retaining an additional 10%, 20% and 40% of the risk above the aforementioned retention levels for 2006, 2007 and 2008, respectively.



50




The reinsurance contracts for 2002 through 2008 contain variable premium ceding rates based on loss experience and thus, a portion of policyholder premium ceded to the reinsurers is calculated on a retrospective basis. The variable premium contracts are subject to a minimum and a maximum premium range to be paid to the reinsurers, depending on the extent of losses actually paid by the reinsurers. A provisional premium is paid during the initial policy year. The actual percentage rate ultimately ceded under these contracts will depend upon the development of ultimate losses ceded to the reinsurers under their retrospective treaties.


To the extent that estimates for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses change, the amount of variable reinsurance premiums may also change. The ceded premium estimates are based upon management’s estimates of ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses and the portion of those losses and loss adjustment expenses that are allocable to reinsurers under the terms of the related reinsurance agreements. Given the uncertainty of the ultimate amounts of losses and loss adjustment expenses, these estimates may vary significantly from the ultimate outcome. In addition to the in-depth review of reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, on a semi-annual basis, API also has its outside consulting actuary review development in the reinsurance layer or excess of $250,000 retention for each open variable premium treaty year. Management reviews these estimates and any adjustments necessary are reflected in the period in which the change in estimate is determined. Adjustment to the premiums ceded could have a material effect on API’s results of operations for the period in which the change is made.


In addition to an adjustment to premiums ceded, estimates of ultimate reinsurance ceded premium amounts compared to the amounts paid on a provisional basis give rise to a balance sheet asset classified as “Other amounts receivable under reinsurance contracts” or a balance sheet liability classified as “Funds held under reinsurance treaties.” Furthermore, each retrospective treaty requires a 24- or 36-month holding period before any premium adjustments or cash can be returned or paid. The ultimate settlement amount will not be determined until all losses have been settled under the respective treaties. As of December 31, 2009, we had recorded a balance sheet asset, “Other amounts receivable under reinsurance contracts” of $785,000 and a balance sheet liability, “Funds held under reinsurance treaties” of $2,379,000 which represent the differences between the estimates of ultimate reinsurance premiums ceded amounts for the 2002 through 2008 treaty years as compared to the amounts paid on a provisional basis.


The effect of reinsurance on premiums written and earned for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 is as follows (in thousands):


 

December 31,

2009

 

December 31,

2008

 

 

 

Written

 

Earned

 

Written

 

Earned

Direct premiums

$

65,430 

 

$

65,874 

 

$

64,117 

 

$

62,538 

Ceded:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

(2,042)

 

 

(2,042)

 

 

(5,259)

 

 

(5,259)

Prior years

 

4,351 

 

 

4,351 

 

 

6,802 

 

 

6,802 

Total Ceded

 

2,309 

 

 

2,309 

 

 

1,543 

 

 

1,543 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums

$

67,739 

 

$

68,183 

 

$

65,660 

 

$

64,081 


The effect of reinsurance on premiums written and earned since the acquisition of API on April 1, 2007 through December 31, 2007 is as follows (in thousands):


 

Written

 

Earned

Direct premiums

$

50,120 

 

$

51,226 

Ceded:

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

(6,075)

 

 

(6,075)

Prior years

 

10,888 

 

 

10,888 

Total Ceded

 

4,813 

 

 

4,813 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums

$

54,933 

 

$

56,039 




51




For the year ended December 31, 2009, we recorded favorable development to ceded premiums of $4,351,000 primarily related to prior year variable premium reinsurance treaties as a result of lower estimated ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses for treaty years 2002 and 2006 through 2008. For the year ended December 31, 2008, we recorded favorable development to ceded premiums of $6,802,000 primarily related to prior year variable premium reinsurance treaties as a result of lower estimated ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses for treaty years 2002 through 2007. Since the acquisition of API on April 1, 2007, for the year ended December 31, 2007, we recorded favorable development to ceded premiums of $10,888,000 primarily related to prior year variable premium reinsurance treaties as a result of lower estimated ultimate loss and loss adjustment expenses for treaty years 2002 through 2006.


Reinsurance Recoverables. Ceded reserves for loss and loss adjustment expenses are recorded as reinsurance recoverables. Reinsurance recoverables are the estimated amount of future loss payments that will be recovered from reinsurers, and represent the portion of losses incurred during the period that are estimated to be allocable to reinsurers.


There are several factors that can directly affect the ability to accurately forecast the reinsurance recoverables. Many of the factors discussed above related to the sensitivities of forecasting total loss and loss adjustment expense reserves also apply when analyzing reinsurance recoverables. Since we cede excess losses pursuant to our reinsurance contracts, the trends related to severity significantly affect this estimate. Current individual claims severity can be above or fall below our retention level over the period it takes to resolve a claim.


Similar to the estimate for reserves, due to the long-tailed nature of the medical professional liability line of insurance, relatively small changes in the actuarial assumptions for trends, inflation, severity, frequency for projected ultimate loss and loss adjustment expense reserves can have a greater impact on the recorded balance for reinsurance recoverables than with most other property and casualty insurance lines. While we believe that API’s estimate for ultimate projected losses related to loss and loss adjustment expense is adequate based on reported and open claim counts, there can be no assurance that additional significant reserve enhancements will not be necessary in the future given the many variables inherent in such estimates and the extended period of time that it can take for claim patterns to emerge.  Reinsurance contracts do not relieve us from our obligations to policyholders.


Unsecured reinsurance recoverables at December 31, 2009, that exceeded 10% of total reinsurance paid and unpaid loss and loss adjustment expenses are summarized as follows (in thousands):


Company Name

 

December 31,

2009

Swiss Reinsurance

 

$

2,933

Transatlantic Reinsurance

 

$

2,362

ACE Tempest Re USA

 

$

1,803

Hannover Ruckversicherrungs

 

$

1,112


We continually monitor our reinsurers to minimize our exposure to significant losses from reinsurer defaults. Any amount found to be uncollectible would be written off in the period in which the uncollectible amount is identified.


Death, Disability and Retirement Reserves.  We have established a death, disability and retirement reserve for policyholders, which is intended to set aside a portion of the policy premium to account for the coverage provided for the extended reporting period or tail coverage offered by API upon the death and/or disability and/or retirement of a policyholder which is provided at no additional cost to the policyholder. The death, disability and retirement reserve is included in unearned premiums.




52




Stock-Based Compensation.  We recognize compensation expense for all stock-based compensation awards made to employees and directors. We estimate the fair value of stock-based compensation awards on the date of grant using an option-pricing model. The portion of the value that is ultimately expected to vest is recognized as expense over the service period. Stock-based compensation expense recognized in our consolidated statements of income for fiscal years 2009, 2008 and 2007 is based on awards ultimately expected to vest and is reduced for estimated forfeitures. We recognize forfeitures based on an estimate at the time of grant and revised, if necessary, in subsequent periods if actual forfeitures differ from those estimates. In addition, we recognize the benefits of realized tax deductions in excess of tax benefits on compensation expense and report it as a component of cash flows from financing activities rather than as an operating cash flow.


We also recognize deferred compensation expense for all deferred stock grants to key employees and directors. This non-qualified compensation plan was designed to give us more flexibility in compensating key employees and directors through ownership of our common stock. The amount of deferred compensation expense recognized is based on the closing price of our common stock on the date of the grant and is recorded as compensation expense in our consolidated statements of income for fiscal years 2009, 2008 and 2007.


Cash and Cash Equivalents. Cash and cash equivalents include cash and highly liquid investments with a maturity date at purchase of 90 days or less. We deposit our cash and cash equivalents with high credit quality institutions. Periodically such balances may exceed applicable FDIC insurance limits. Management has assessed the financial condition of these institutions and believes the possibility of credit loss is minimal.


Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs.  The costs of acquiring and renewing insurance business that vary with and are directly related to the production of such business are deferred and amortized ratably over the period the related unearned premiums are earned. Such costs include commissions, premium taxes and certain underwriting and policy issuance costs. Deferred policy acquisition costs are reviewed to determine if they are recoverable from future income, including investment income. If such costs are estimated to be unrecoverable, they are expensed in the period the determination is made.


Income Taxes. We compute income taxes utilizing the asset and liability method. We recognize current and deferred income tax expense, which is comprised of estimated provisions for federal income taxes. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are recognized for the future tax consequences attributable to temporary differences between the financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and liabilities and their respective tax basis and operating loss and tax credit carry forwards. Deferred tax assets and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to apply to taxable income in the years in which those temporary differences are expected to be recovered or settled. The effect on deferred tax assets and liabilities of a change in tax rates is recognized in income in the period that includes the enactment date. A valuation allowance against deferred tax assets is recorded if it is more likely than not that all or some portion of the benefits related to the deferred tax assets will not be realized. We have not established a valuation allowance because we believe it is more likely than not our deferred tax assets will be fully recovered We have developed and implemented a process to ensure that uncertain tax positions are identified, analyzed and properly reported in the Company’s financial statements. Based on all known facts and circumstances and current tax law, we believe that the total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of January 1, and December 31, 2009, is not material to our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows. We also believe that the total amount of unrecognized tax benefits as of January 1, and December 31, 2009, if recognized, would not have a material effect on our effective tax rate. We further believe that there are no tax positions for which it is reasonably possible that the unrecognized tax benefits will significantly increase or decrease over the next 12 months producing, individually or in the aggregate, a material effect on our results of operations, financial condition or cash flows.




53




Unaudited Pro Forma Consolidated Financial Information


We are providing the following unaudited pro forma consolidated financial statements to present a picture of the results of operations of the combined company after giving effect to our acquisition of API, absent any operational or other changes, had API’s and our businesses been combined for the periods and at the dates indicated. The pro forma consolidated statement of operations for the year ended December 31, 2007 is presented as if the API acquisition occurred on January 1, 2007. The unaudited pro forma consolidated financial statements were prepared using the purchase method of accounting.


The pro forma adjustments are based upon available information and assumptions that each company’s management believes are reasonable. The unaudited pro forma consolidated financial statements are presented for illustrative purposes only and are based on the estimates and assumptions set forth in the notes accompanying these statements, which should be read in conjunction with these unaudited pro forma consolidated financial statements. The companies may have performed differently had they always been combined. You should not rely on this information as being indicative of the historical results that would have been achieved had the companies always been combined or the future results that the combined company will experience. The unaudited pro forma consolidated financial information is not comparable to our historical financial information due to the inclusion of the effects of the API acquisition. The unaudited pro forma consolidated financial statements and the related notes thereto should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements of the Company for the year ended December 31, 2007, and the related notes thereto and other information in the “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” and the unaudited financial statements of API for the quarter ended March 31, 2007 filed in our Form S-1 dated June 19, 2007.  



54





Unaudited Pro Forma Combined Statement of Operations

For the Year Ended December 31, 2007

(In thousands, except per share data)


 

APS

Historical

12/31/07

 

API

Historical

1/1/07 to 3/31/07

 

Pro Forma

Adjustments

"Merger"

 

Combined

Pro Forma

12/31/07

REVENUES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premiums written

$

50,120 

 

$

15,466 

 

$

 

 

$

65,586 

Premiums ceded

 

4,813 

 

 

(2,407)

 

 

 

 

 

2,406 

Change in unearned premiums

 

1,106 

 

 

3,252 

 

 

 

 

 

4,358 

Net premiums earned

 

56,039 

 

 

16,311 

 

 

 

 

 

72,350 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment income, net of investment expense

 

8,693 

 

 

1,791 

 

 

78 

(a)

 

10,505 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(80)

(d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

23 

(b)

 

 

Realized capital gains (losses), net

 

(5,256)

 

 

126 

 

 

 

 

 

(5,130)

Management services

 

3,803 

 

 

 

 

 

(3,718)

(a)

 

179 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

94 

(c)

 

 

Financial services

 

21,056 

 

 

 

 

 

(307)

(b)

 

20,749 

Other revenue

 

68 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

68 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total revenues

 

84,403 

 

 

18,228 

 

 

(3,910)

 

 

98,721 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EXPENSES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

13,695 

 

 

10,934 

 

 

(1,154)

(a)

 

24,659 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,184 

(d)

 

 

Other underwriting expenses

 

8,320 

 

 

3,215 

 

 

1,570 

(d)

 

11,635 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1,564)

(a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

94 

(c)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs

 

(110)

 

 

141 

 

 

 

 

 

31 

Management services expenses

 

3,823 

 

 

 

 

 

(989)

(a)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(2,834)

(d)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial services expenses

 

19,030 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

19,030 

General and administrative

 

5,459 

 

 

 

 

 

102 

(e)

 

5,561 

Impairment of goodwill

 

1,247 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,247 

Total expenses

 

51,464 

 

 

14,290 

 

 

(3,591)

 

 

62,163 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income from operations

 

32,939 

 

 

3,938 

 

 

(319)

 

 

36,558 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Income tax expense

 

11,929 

 

 

1,326 

 

 

(35)

(e)

 

13,121 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(99)

(b)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Non-controlling interests

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net income before extraordinary gain

$

21,009 

 

$

2,612 

 

$

(185)

 

$

23,436 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net Income before extraordinary gain per Share:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic:

$

3.80 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

4.24 

Diluted:

$

3.69 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

4.12 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic weighted average shares outstanding

 

5,532 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5,532 

Diluted weighted average shares outstanding

 

5,695 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5,695 




55




Notes to Unaudited Pro Forma

Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December 31, 2007


1.  Basis of Presentation


The accompanying unaudited pro forma statement of operations presents the pro forma effects of our acquisition of API through the issuance of common and preferred shares of our stock. The statements of operations for the year ended December 31, 2007 is presented as though the acquisition occurred on January 1, 2007.


2.  Method of Accounting for the Acquisition


We accounted for the acquisition using the purchase method of accounting for business combinations. We were deemed to be the acquirer for accounting purposes based on a number of factors determined in accordance with GAAP. The purchase method of accounting requires that API’s assets acquired and liabilities assumed by us be recorded at their estimated fair values.


3.  Adjustments to Historical Financial Statements for Comparability


Following the acquisition, we are primarily an insurance company and, accordingly, we have reclassified our statements of operations in the unaudited pro forma financial information to conform to GAAP as applied to insurance companies.


4.  Pro Forma Adjustments Related to the Acquisition


Pursuant to our acquisition of API, API became a wholly owned subsidiary of the Company.


At the effective time of the acquisition, April 1, 2007, each share of common stock of API was converted into, and exchanged for, the right to receive the number of shares of our common stock based upon an exchange ratio equal to a purchase price of $39 million minus the $9,179,000 agreed-upon present value of the payments authorized by the Texas Department of Insurance that must be made by us to comply with the mandatory redemption features of the API Series A redeemable preferred stock in exchange for the API refundable deposit certificates, divided by $17.28, divided by the 10,000,000 shares of API common stock. The $17.28 price was the average closing price of our common shares for the twenty trading days immediately preceding the closing. According to the terms of the merger agreement for the acquisition, the value of our common stock issued in the acquisition was subject to adjustment upwards or downwards by up to 15% based on the closing price of our common shares for the twenty trading days immediately preceding the effective date of the acquisition.


Each share of Series A redeemable preferred stock of API was converted into the right to receive one share of our Series A redeemable preferred stock. The shares of our common stock and Series A redeemable preferred stock issued in the acquisition were subject to a 180-day lock-up period in which the holders of such shares were prohibited from transferring their shares. This lock-up period expired on September 28, 2007.


The purchase accounting and pro forma adjustments related to the unaudited pro forma statements of operations as a result of the acquisition are as follows:


(a)

Records the elimination of the revenue component of management fee and sub-producer commissions by the Company, the management fee expense by API and the sub-producer expenses by the Company for the three months ended March 31, 2007.




56




(b)

Records the elimination of intercompany revenue by APS Investment Services for investment trading fees for managing API’s fixed maturities investment portfolio and records related other comprehensive income at API, change in amortization of bond premium and tax expense for the three months ended March 31, 2007.


(c)

Records commissions expense incurred by API that is currently reimbursed by the Company. There is no reimbursement following the acquisition. The reimbursement was eliminated in our financial statements.


(d)

Reclassifies the salaries, marketing, professional fees and general administrative expenses of the attorney-in-fact supporting the functional areas of claims, underwriting and investments.


(e) Records the 3% per annum dividend on our Series A redeemable preferred stock and the imputed interest from recording the liability at fair value.


RESULTS OF OPERATIONS


Overview


With the acquisition of API on April 1, 2007, our consolidated revenue and earnings are predominately derived from medical professional liability insurance provided through our Insurance Services segment. Prior to April 1, 2007, the historical results of operations of our Insurance Services segment were determined by the management fees we received from API pursuant to a management agreement and the expenses incurred in managing API’s operations such as personnel expenses, rent, office expenses and technology costs. The management agreement obligated API to pay management fees to us based on API’s earned premiums before payment of reinsurance premiums. The management fee percentage was 13.5% of API’s earned premiums. In addition, any pre-tax profits of API were shared equally with us so long as the total amount of profit sharing did not exceed 3% of earned premiums. When we acquired API, the management agreement was terminated and our consolidated results of operations are now directly affected by premiums API earns from the sale of medical professional liability insurance, investment income earned on assets held by API, insurance losses and loss adjustment expenses relating to the insurance policies API writes as well as commissions and other insurance underwriting and policy acquisition expenses API incurs.


Despite continued rate decreases of 4% in 2009 in our Insurance Services segment, improvements in the terms on our reinsurance contracts coupled with favorable reserve development allowed us to deliver strong results from our operations from this segment. As a result of favorable development in both claim counts and claim severity post-tort reform and increased competition, we lowered our rates on average approximately 4% in 2009. We continue to see increased competition by existing professional liability carriers. As a result of this increased competition, we continue to be faced with price pressure on both existing renewals and new business. Many of our competitors have been aggressive in seeking new business and are willing to compete on price. We will continue to monitor frequency of claims and severity of loss and legal expenses to determine if further rate adjustments are warranted. As a result of these market forces, we will face increased competition throughout 2010, but will continue to price insurance products at rates believed to be adequate for the risks assumed.


Our Financial Services segment rebounded in 2009 from a difficult 2008 when it suffered its first net operating loss since 1996. A combination of increased commission revenue from security trading brought about by improved bond market conditions together with the benefits derived from cost reductions implemented in the latter half of 2008 contributed to returning this segment to profitability. The positive revenue and earnings trend continued into the fourth quarter of 2009 where our financial services segment recorded its best financial results of the year. Even with the positive revenue trends and lower fixed costs we remain cautious as to the future performance of this segment given the continued uncertainty as to the health of the U.S. economy.




57




The following table sets forth selected historical financial and operating data. Our results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2007 include the historical financial and operating results prior to and subsequent to the acquisition of API on April 1, 2007. The selected historical financial and operating data is derived from our consolidated financial statements which management believes incorporate all of the adjustments necessary for the fair presentation of the financial condition and results of operations for such periods. All information is presented in accordance with GAAP, Actual financial results through December 31, 2009 may not be indicative of future financial performance.


For comparative purposes, we have also included the results of operations for the year ended December 31, 2007 on a “pro forma basis” since we did not acquire API until April 1, 2007. This information is provided to highlight the results of operations prior to our acquisition of API and any reference in this Item 7 below to “pro forma” reflects the impact to us had we acquired API as of January 1, 2007.



58





Selected Consolidated Historical and Proforma Financial and

Operating Data of American Physicians Service Group, Inc.

 

 

 

Year ended December 31,

 

2009

 

2008

 

2007

 

2007

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

Proforma

Income Statement Data:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

$

65,430  

 

$

64,117  

 

$

50,120  

 

$

65,586  

Premiums ceded

 

2,309  

 

 

1,543  

 

 

4,813  

 

 

2,406  

Net premiums written

 

67,739  

 

 

65,660  

 

 

54,933  

 

 

67,992  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

 

68,183  

 

 

64,081  

 

 

56,039  

 

 

72,350  

Investment income, net of investment expenses

 

10,109  

 

 

11,999  

 

 

8,693  

 

 

10,505  

Net realized capital gains (losses) and OTTI

 

(2,532) 

 

 

(7,749) 

 

 

(5,256) 

 

 

(5,130) 

Management services

 

60  

 

 

88  

 

 

3,803  

 

 

179  

Financial services

 

8,021  

 

 

6,193  

 

 

21,056  

 

 

20,749  

Other revenue

 

170  

 

 

137  

 

 

68  

 

 

68  

Total revenues

 

84,011  

 

 

74,749  

 

 

84,403  

 

 

98,721  

Losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

24,978  

 

 

18,569  

 

 

13,695  

 

 

24,659  

Other underwriting expenses

 

11,061  

 

 

11,074  

 

 

8,320  

 

 

11,635  

Change in deferred acquisition costs

 

165  

 

 

14  

 

 

(110) 

 

 

31  

Management services expenses

 

-  

 

 

-  

 

 

3,823  

 

 

-  

Financial services expenses

 

7,905  

 

 

9,749  

 

 

19,030  

 

 

19,030  

General and administrative expenses

 

5,202  

 

 

5,752  

 

 

5,459  

 

 

5,561  

Impairment of goodwill

 

-  

 

 

-  

 

 

1,247  

 

 

1,247  

Total expenses

 

49,311  

 

 

45,158  

 

 

51,464  

 

 

62,163  

Income from operations

 

34,700  

 

 

29,591  

 

 

32,939  

 

 

36,558  

Income tax expense

 

11,835  

 

 

10,428  

 

 

11,929  

 

 

13,121  

Non-controlling interests

 

-  

 

 

-  

 

 

1  

 

 

1  

Net income before extraordinary gain

 

22,865  

 

 

19,163  

 

 

21,009  

 

 

23,436  

Extraordinary gain, net of tax

 

-  

 

 

-  

 

 

2,264  

 

 

-  

Net income

$

22,865  

 

$

19,163  

 

$

23,273  

 

$

23,436  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Diluted weighted average shares outstanding

 

7,020  

 

 

7,248  

 

 

5,695  

 

 

5,695  

Earnings per common share

$

3.26  

 

$

2.64  

 

$

4.09  

 

$

4.12  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Underwriting Ratios:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Loss ratio (1) (4)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident year

 

66%

 

 

61%

 

 

53%

 

 

56%

Prior years

 

-29%

 

 

-32%

 

 

-29%

 

 

-22%

Calendar year

 

37%

 

 

29%

 

 

24%

 

 

34%

Expense ratio (2) (4)

 

16%

 

 

17%

 

 

15%

 

 

16%

Combined ratio (3) (4)

 

53%

 

 

46%

 

 

39%

 

 

50%


(1) Loss ratio is defined as the ratio of losses and loss adjustment expenses to net premiums earned.

(2) Expense ratio is defined as the ratio of other underwriting expenses and net change in deferred acquisition costs to net premiums earned

(3) Combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio.

(4) Ratios for the 2007 actual results reflect the results of operations for API from April 1, 2007 (the date of acquisition).




59





 

Year ended December 31,

(in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Actual

 

Actual

Balance Sheet Data:

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and cash equivalents and investments

$

259,338

 

$

231,769

Premiums receivable

 

15,678

 

 

17,186

Reinsurance recoverables

 

9,682

 

 

15,293

All other assets

 

15,074

 

 

19,306

Total Assets

$

299,772

 

$

283,554

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses

 

88,668

 

 

92,141

Unearned premiums

 

36,341

 

 

36,785

Mandatorily redeemable preferred stock

 

6,679

 

 

7,568

All other liabilities

 

8,874

 

 

10,595

Total Liabilities

 

140,562

 

 

147,089

Total Stockholders' Eequity

 

159,210

 

 

136,465

Total Liabilities & Stockholders' Equity

$

299,772

 

$

283,554


2009 Compared to 2008


Condensed income statement data for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands except per share data)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

$

84,011

 

$

74,749

 

$

9,262

 

12%

Income from Operations

 

34,700

 

 

29,591

 

 

5,109

 

17%

Net Income

 

22,865

 

 

19,163

 

 

3,702

 

19%

Diluted Net Income Per Share

$

3.26

 

$

2.64

 

$

0.62

 

23%


Further explanation for the year-to-year variances are described below throughout the remainder of Item 7 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.


Premium related income statement data for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Gross premiums written

$

65,430 

 

$

64,117 

 

$

1,313 

 

2%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Premium ceded:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

(2,042)

 

 

(5,259)

 

 

3,217 

 

-61%

Prior year

 

4,351 

 

 

6,802 

 

 

(2,451)

 

-36%

Net premiums ceded

 

2,309 

 

 

1,543 

 

 

766 

 

50%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net premiums earned

$

68,183 

 

$

64,081 

 

$

4,102 

 

6%




60




Gross Premiums Written


Gross premiums written increased $1,313,000 (2%) to $65,430,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 from $64,117,000 for the year ended December 31, 2008. The primary causes for this increase were a higher number of extended reporting period endorsements during the current year as compared to the prior year and new written business of $7,143,000 for the current year as compared to $6,297,000 for the prior year. We had smaller rate decreases on renewing business which averaged approximately 4% for the current year as compared to average rate decreases of approximately 6% for the prior year. Policyholder retention was approximately 90% for the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to 92% for 2008, however, the number of policyholders increased to 6,363 at December 31, 2009 from 5,336 at December 31, 2008. We continue to experience competitive pricing pressures.


Premiums Ceded


Premiums ceded decreased $766,000 (50%) to $2,309,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 from $1,543,000 for the year ended December 31, 2008. Effective January 1, 2009, we changed our reinsurance treaty such that we now retain the first $1,000,000 of any loss occurrence. The 2009 reinsurance contract is a fixed-rated treaty and provides 100% coverage in excess of our retention of $1,000,000 with a $5,000,000 aggregate limit. We are retaining this additional risk in the reinsurance layer in order to lower our ceding costs based on decreases in claims. Due to the increased retention, the current year 2009 treaty year ceded premiums decreased $3,217,000 (61%) to $2,042,000 in 2009 treaty year ceded premiums as compared to $5,259,000 in 2008. The 2009 treaty, which significantly reduced ceded premiums in 2009, provides us with coverage against large losses and multiple claims arising from a single event, as well as excess policy limit coverage. While the 2009 treaty reduced our ceded premiums as a percentage of direct premiums written, thus resulting in a relative increase in net premiums written and earned, the overall impact on earnings is uncertain as the frequency and severity of losses in future periods is not yet known.


Offsetting this decrease was less favorable development in 2009 on prior year swing rated treaties as compared to 2008. The reinsurance contracts we utilized from 2002 through 2008 were variable premium treaties that have various minimum and maximum rates. The actual premium rate is dependent upon the ultimate losses ceded to the reinsurer under the related treaty. The decrease in premiums ceded of $766,000 is primarily the result of the additional retention under the 2009 treaty and recognizing only $4,351,000 of favorable prior reinsurance development for prior years’ reinsurance treaties during the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to recognizing $6,802,000 of prior years’ favorable development during the year ended December 31, 2008. The favorable development reflects reductions in our estimates of claim severity and loss experience as a result of claim closures at less than reserved amounts.


Net Premiums Earned  


Net premiums earned increased by $4,102,000 (6%) to $68,183,000 from $64,081,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to the same period in 2007. Net earned premiums were up primarily due to lower reinsurance ceding costs for the 2009 treaty, higher written premiums and lower rate reductions.




61




Investment Income


Investment income statement data for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Investment income:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Maturities

$

9,591

 

$

11,164

 

$

(1,573)

 

-14%

Equity Securities

 

413

 

 

320

 

 

93 

 

29%

Short-term investments and other

 

193

 

 

568

 

 

(375)

 

-66%

Finance charges on premiums receivable

 

136

 

 

142

 

 

(6)

 

-4%

Structured annuity

 

73

 

 

77

 

 

(4)

 

-5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total investment income

$

10,406

 

$

12,271

 

$

(1,865)

 

-15%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Investment expense

 

297

 

 

272

 

 

25 

 

9%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net investment income

$

10,109

 

$

11,999

 

$

(1,890)

 

-16%


Investment income, net of investment expenses, decreased by $1,890,000 (16%) to $10,109,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 from $11,999,000 for the year ended December 31, 2008.  As a result of the risk and uncertainty of the current economic crisis and the ultimate impact on the non-agency collateralized mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) market, we sold non-agency CMOs with a book value of $17,288,000 during the year ended December 31, 2009. As a result of these sales, the fair market value of our non-agency CMOs has been reduced from $25,438,000 as of December 31, 2008 to $4,801,000 as of December 31, 2009. The proceeds from these sales and additional cash generated from operations have been reinvested generally in high quality investment grade fixed maturities securities with short maturity dates and lower yields. In addition, interest rates on money market funds are substantially lower in 2009 as compared to 2008. This rebalancing of our fixed maturities investment portfolio resulted in a corresponding decrease in investment income for the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to the same period in 2008.


Net Realized Capital Gains (Losses) and Other-than-temporaryImpairments (OTTI)


Net realized capital gains (losses) and OTTI data for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Gross realized gains

$

818 

 

$

1,354 

 

$

(536)

 

-40%

Gross realized (losses)

 

(1,005)

 

 

(1,516)

 

 

511 

 

-34%

Other -than-temporary impairment (losses)

 

(2,345)

 

 

(7,587)

 

 

5,242 

 

-69%

Net realized gains (losses) and OTTI

$

(2,532)

 

$

(7,749)

 

$

5,217 

 

-67%


Net realized capital losses and OTTI were $2,532,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to $7,749,000 for the year ended December 31, 2008.  Gross realized gains decreased by $536,000 (40%) to $818,000 in 2009 as compared to $1,354,000 in 2008 primarily due to recognizing a $558,000 realized gain on the sale of Financial Industries Corporation (“FIC”) stock in 2008. Gross realized losses decreased by $511,000 (34%) to $1,005,000 in 2009 as compared to $1,516,000 in 2008 primarily due to the sale of equity and fixed income securities during 2008 used to offset prior year capital gain carry forwards. As mentioned above, additionally, we sold a substantial percentage of our non-agency CMOs during 2009 resulting in a net realized loss of $152,000 on the sale of these securities.




62




OTTI decreased by $5,242,000 (69%) to $2,345,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 from $7,587,000 for the year ended December 31, 2008 primarily as a result of lower impairment losses on our Alt-A CMOs securities in 2009 as compared to 2008. The amount of OTTI associated with Alt-A impairments for 2009 and 2008 was $619,000 and $5,819,000, respectively.  In addition, we incurred additional “other than temporary” charges in 2008 on two other non-agency CMO securities in the amount of $1,070,000.  Included in $2,345,000 of OTTI losses in 2009 is the write-down of $1,373,000 based on our intent to sell our non-agency CMO portfolio. Provided we can obtain an appropriate price on these securities, we will further reduce exposure to continued deterioration of the housing sector.


The following table reflects the composition of our Alt-A securities as of December 31, 2009 after the OTTI (dollars in thousands):


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

% of Portfolio

Rating Category

 

 

Book Value

 

 

Fair Value

 

(Fair Value)

AA

 

$

626

 

$

633

 

0.2%

BBB

 

 

767

 

 

771

 

0.3%

Non-investment grade

 

 

894

 

 

997

 

0.4%

Total

 

$

2,287

 

$

2,401

 

0.9%


Financial Services Revenues


Financial services revenue for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Broker/dealer commissions

$

7,296

 

$

5,124

 

$

2,172 

 

42%

Bank debt/trade claim fees

 

666

 

 

740

 

 

(74)

 

-10%

Management fees and other

 

59

 

 

329

 

 

(270)

 

-82%

Total financial services revenues

$

8,021

 

$

6,193

 

$

1,828 

 

30%


Our financial services revenue increased $1,828,000 (30%) for the year ended December 31, 2009 compared to 2008. APS Financial, our broker/dealer, derives most of its revenue from transactions in the fixed income market, in both investment and non-investment grade securities. As the table above reflects, commission revenue at APS Financial was up $2,172,000 (42%) for the year ended December 31, 2009 compared to the same period in 2008. An improving trend in transaction activity of both high-yield securities and CMOs was the primary reason for the increase in broker/dealer commission revenues. Our bank debt/trade claim revenues were lower by $74,000 (10%) for the year ended December 31, 2009 compared to 2008. We would note though that bank debt and or trade claim revenues showed an $183,000 (69%) increase in the fourth quarter of 2009 as compared to the same period in 2008. These period-over-period variances are more related to timing issues than to a weakening or strengthening of opportunity as the revenue stream for this line of business is irregular with longer lead times to close a transaction than our traditional broker-dealer transactions. Our management fees and other revenue declined $270,000 (82%) primarily as the result of our decision during the first quarter of 2009 to no longer actively pursue investment banking business.




63




Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses  


Loss and loss adjustment expenses for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Losses and loss adjustment expenses:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Accident year

$

44,827 

 

$

39,134 

 

$

5,693

 

15%

Prior years

 

(19,849)

 

 

(20,565)

 

 

716

 

-3%

Calendar year

$

24,978 

 

$

18,569 

 

$

6,409

 

35%


Loss and loss adjustment expenses for the year ended December 31, 2009 increased by $6,409,000 (35%) to $24,978,000 from $18,569,000 for the year ended December 31, 2008. The increase of $6,409,000 is primarily the result of higher current year development due to much higher retention levels in the 2009 reinsurance treaty and increased policyholder headcounts and lower favorable development of $716,000 on prior year losses for the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to the same period in 2008. For the year ended December 31, 2009, current accident year loss and loss adjustment expenses totaled $44,827,000, an increase of $5,693,000 (15%) over the prior current year comparable period. We increased the 2009 current accident year estimated losses based on 380 new claims reported during the current year and the increased risk associated with the increase in policyholder headcount to 6,363 as well as the increased retention under the 2009 reinsurance treaty. Prior year losses developed favorably by $19,849,000 as a result of reductions in our estimates of claims severity, principally the 2002 through 2008 report years, driven by closure of 407 claims during the year. For the year ended December 31, 2008, current accident year loss and loss adjustment expenses were $39,134,000 based on 371 claims reported and a policyholder head count of 5,336 and there was $20,565,000 of favorable development on prior years’ claims. The positive effects of tort reform in Texas on average claim severity has resulted in continued favorable development of reserves and improved claim development patterns. During the current year we continued to favorably settle a significant number of post-tort reform claims at below the reserved amounts.  


We continually review and update the data underlying the estimation of the loss and loss adjustment expense reserves and make adjustments that we believe the emerging data warrant. Any adjustments to reserves that are considered necessary are reflected in the results of operations in the period the estimates are changed. As of December 31, 2009, we continue to reserve at the upper end of the actuarially determined reserve range.




64




Other Underwriting Expenses and Change in Deferred Acquisition Costs


Other underwriting expenses and change in deferred acquisition costs for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Salaries and related benefits

$

3,458

 

$

3,287

 

$

171 

 

5%

Commission expense

 

4,100

 

 

4,200

 

 

(100)

 

-2%

Premium taxes

 

1,090

 

 

1,087

 

 

 

0%

Professional fees

 

395

 

 

315

 

 

80 

 

25%

Other expenses

 

2,018

 

 

2,185

 

 

(167)

 

-8%

Total other underwriting expenses

 

11,061

 

 

11,074

 

 

(13)

 

0%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Change in deferred acquisition costs

 

165

 

 

14

 

 

151 

 

1079%

Total

$

11,226

 

$

11,088

 

$

138 

 

1%


Other underwriting expenses decreased by $13,000 to $11,061,000 from $11,074,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 as compared to the same period in 2008. Other underwriting expenses consist primarily of commissions to agents, premium taxes allocated salaries and other general underwriting expenses related to managing our Insurance Services segment. Allocated salaries and related employee benefits increased $171,000 (5%) to $3,458,000 for the year ended December 31, 2009 versus $3,287,000 for the prior 2008 year. These increases were primarily related to annual employee merit increases. Commissions to agents and premium taxes decreased by $100,000 to $4,100,000 for the 2009 year from $4,200,000 for the prior year based on slightly higher non-commissionable direct premium written during the current year. Premium taxes were up slightly due to a small increase in written premiums between years. In addition, legal, auditing, actuarial and other professional fees were $395,000 which represented an increase of $80,000 over the prior year fees of $315,000. This increase was primarily related to additional actuarial services performed for relativity, rate and reserve studies performed in 2009. The net change in deferred acquisition costs, which is comprised of the change in deferred and amortized commissions paid to agents on new and renewal business and deferred and amortized premium taxes, increased for the year ended December 31, 2009 by $151,000 to $165,000 from $14,000 for the comparable period in 2008 due to the amortization of prior deferred expenses exceeding new costs capitalized.


Financial Services Expenses


Financial services expenses for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Broker commissions

$

4,533

 

$

3,291

 

$

1,242 

 

38%

Payroll and benefits

 

1,947

 

 

3,118

 

 

(1,171)

 

-38%

Information services

 

484

 

 

558

 

 

(74)

 

-13%

Legal and professional fees

 

254

 

 

1,926

 

 

(1,672)

 

-87%

Other

 

687

 

 

856

 

 

(169)

 

-20%

Total financial services expenses

$

7,905

 

$

9,749

 

$

(1,844)

 

-19%




65




Our financial services expenses decreased $1,844,000 (19%) for the year ended December 31, 2009 compared to 2008. With the drop in trading activity associated with the U.S. economic downturn and the resultant investor uncertainty, we began making cost reductions in 2008 within this division, the full effect of which was not realized until 2009. As the table above shows, payroll and benefits decreased $1,171,000 (38%) and information services decreased $74,000 (13%) in 2009 compared to 2008 as a result of these cost reductions. In addition, legal and professional fees decreased $1,672,000 (87%) in 2009 as a result of non-recurring legal fees and accruals in 2008 as well as lower Sarbanes-Oxley, consulting and audit fees incurred in 2009. Other expenses includes fixed costs such as rent, dues, licenses, travel and insurance which were reduced in total by $169,000 (20%) in 2009 compared to 2008 as part of cost reduction measures aimed at returning this segment back to profitability. This segment’s primary variable cost, commission expenses, increased $1,242,000 (38%) in 2009 compared to 2008 as a result of the increase in trading activity and associated commission revenues mentioned above. In addition, a higher percentage of gross commissions were earned by brokers earning a higher commission rate either due to reaching pre-described rate thresholds or due to their being independent contractors whose rates are higher as they do not participate in any benefits that our employee brokers receive. These overall cost reduction measures, together with increase in our broker/dealer commission revenue, have for the time being returned this segment to profitability. However, there can be no assurance that we can sustain revenues necessary to remain profitable in the future.


General and Administrative Expenses


General and administrative expenses for the years ended December 31, 2009 and 2008 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands)

2009

 

2008

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Salaries

$

1,348

 

$

1,381

 

$

(33)

 

-2%

Incentive compensation

 

1,394

 

 

1,414

 

 

(20)

 

-1%

Board compensation and fees

 

656

 

 

1,046

 

 

(390)

 

-37%

Legal and professional fees

 

411

 

 

445

 

 

(34)

 

-8%

Options and other compensation

 

341

 

 

100

 

 

241 

 

241%

Interest and dividends

 

348

 

 

389

 

 

(41)

 

-11%

Other

 

704

 

 

977

 

 

(273)

 

-28%

Total general and administrative expenses

$

5,202

 

$

5,752

 

$

(550)

 

-10%


General and administrative expenses decreased $550,000 (10%) for the year ended December 31, 2009 compared to 2008. The decrease in 2009 includes lower board compensation and fees of $390,000 (37%) resulting primarily from greater deferred stock awards expensed in 2008 versus fewer awards granted and expensed in 2009.  In addition, deferred compensation to our two employee board members was expensed in board compensation and fees in 2008 but was recorded in options and other compensation in 2009. This accounts for the increase in 2009 options and other compensation. Interest and dividends represents interest paid on the outstanding balance of redeemable preferred stock. The $41,000 (11%) decline is a result of interest paid on a lower preferred stock balance resulting from redemptions made in 2008 and 2009. Legal and professional fees decreased $34,000 (8%) in 2009 due in part to lower audit and Sarbanes-Oxley compliance charges. The decrease in other expenses in 2009 was primarily due to a 2008 write-off of a note receivable in the amount of $323,000.




66




2008 Compared to 2007


Actual


Condensed income statement data for the years ended December 31, 2008 and 2007 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands except per share data)

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Actual

 

 

 

 

 

Revenues

$

74,749 

 

$

84,403 

 

$

(9,654)

 

-11%

Income from Operations

 

29,591 

 

 

32,939 

 

 

(3,348)

 

-10%

Net Income

 

19,163 

 

 

23,273 

 

 

(4,110)

 

-18%

Diluted Net Income Per Share

$

2.64 

 

$

4.09 

 

$

(1.45)

 

-35%


Pro forma


Condensed actual income statement data for the year ended December 31, 2008 and condensed pro forma income statement data for the year ended December 31, 2007 are included in the following table:


 

Year ended December 31,

(dollars in thousands except per share data)

2008

 

2007

 

Change

 

% Change

 

Actual

 

Pro forma