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5 Must-Read Analyst Questions From Kratos’s Q1 Earnings Call

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Kratos’ first quarter results were met with a negative market reaction, as investors focused on slower organic revenue growth and ongoing margin constraints despite sales and adjusted profit coming in above Wall Street expectations. Management pointed to strong demand in its Microwave Products, C5ISR, and Rocket Support businesses as key contributors to the revenue increase. However, CEO Eric DeMarco cited persistent cost pressures in the company’s Unmanned Systems segment, especially on long-term fixed price contracts, as a factor limiting profitability. DeMarco acknowledged, “Any contractor that had a fixed price contract in this non-normal environment, we have to either absorb these costs or we have to manage our way through it.”

Is now the time to buy KTOS? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Kratos (KTOS) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $302.6 million vs analyst estimates of $291.2 million (9.2% year-on-year growth, 3.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.12 vs analyst estimates of $0.09 (32.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $26.7 million vs analyst estimates of $23.12 million (8.8% margin, 15.5% beat)
  • The company reconfirmed its revenue guidance for the full year of $1.27 billion at the midpoint
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $115 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $117.8 million
  • Operating Margin: 2.2%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue rose 7.4% year on year (19.4% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $7.52 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions Kratos’s Q1 Earnings Call

  • Peter Arment (Baird) asked about Kratos’ role in the Golden Dome missile defense initiative; CEO Eric DeMarco explained that Kratos’ ground systems and software are positioned for growth as satellite and defense infrastructure expands.

  • Mike Crawford (B. Riley Securities) inquired about the scale of jet engine production and contract revenue recognition; CFO Deanna Lund clarified that revenue is recognized upon contract award and delivery of completed aircraft.

  • Ken Herbert (RBC Capital Markets) questioned the profitability outlook for the Unmanned Systems segment given ongoing cost pressures; Lund and DeMarco pointed to ongoing mitigation efforts and expected relief in future contract cycles.

  • Joe Gomes (NOBLE Capital) asked about competitive threats in tactical drones and commercial technology repurposing; DeMarco stated Kratos faces no disruptive competition and outlined efforts to commercialize defense technologies in autonomous trucking and rocket engines.

  • Michael Ciarmoli (Truist Securities) pressed for clarity on the mix of growth drivers; DeMarco identified hypersonics as the clear leader, followed by propulsion systems and microwave electronics, with tactical drones seen as a potential upside catalyst.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our analysts will be tracking (1) the ramp-up of hypersonic and propulsion program deliveries, (2) the operational transition and output recovery of the Israeli microwave facility following its move, and (3) the pace and composition of new contract awards, particularly in tactical drones and C5ISR segments. Execution on margin improvement initiatives and expanding commercial applications will be additional performance indicators.

Kratos currently trades at $45.25, up from $36.09 just before the earnings. At this price, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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