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Winners And Losers Of Q3: Carrier Global (NYSE:CARR) Vs The Rest Of The HVAC and Water Systems Stocks

CARR Cover Image

The end of the earnings season is always a good time to take a step back and see who shined (and who not so much). Let’s take a look at how hvac and water systems stocks fared in Q3, starting with Carrier Global (NYSE: CARR).

Many HVAC and water systems companies sell essential, non-discretionary infrastructure for buildings. Since the useful lives of these water heaters and vents are fairly standard, these companies have a portion of predictable replacement revenue. In the last decade, trends in energy efficiency and clean water are driving innovation that is leading to incremental demand. On the other hand, new installations for these companies are at the whim of residential and commercial construction volumes, which tend to be cyclical and can be impacted heavily by economic factors such as interest rates.

The 9 hvac and water systems stocks we track reported a strong Q3. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 3.6% while next quarter’s revenue guidance was 0.8% below.

In light of this news, share prices of the companies have held steady as they are up 4.4% on average since the latest earnings results.

Carrier Global (NYSE: CARR)

Founded by the inventor of air conditioning, Carrier Global (NYSE: CARR) manufactures heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration products.

Carrier Global reported revenues of $5.58 billion, down 6.8% year on year. This print was in line with analysts’ expectations, and overall, it was a very strong quarter for the company with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

"Our team drove continued double-digit aftermarket growth and strong performance in Commercial HVAC1, which grew 30% in the Americas, both of which were more than offset by expected weakness in Residential in the Americas," said Chairman & CEO David Gitlin.

Carrier Global Total Revenue

Carrier Global achieved the highest full-year guidance raise but had the slowest revenue growth of the whole group. Investor expectations, however, were likely higher than Wall Street’s published projections, leaving some wishing for even better results (analysts’ consensus estimates are those published by big banks and advisory firms, not the investors who make buy and sell decisions). The stock is down 3.4% since reporting and currently trades at $56.33.

Is now the time to buy Carrier Global? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q3: Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX)

Playing a large role in the Integrated Pipeline (IPL) project in Texas to deliver ~350 million gallons of water per day, Northwest Pipe (NASDAQ: NWPX) is a manufacturer of pipeline systems for water infrastructure.

Northwest Pipe reported revenues of $151.1 million, up 16% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 14.4%. The business had an incredible quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS and EBITDA estimates.

Northwest Pipe Total Revenue

Northwest Pipe pulled off the biggest analyst estimates beat among its peers. The market seems happy with the results as the stock is up 16.7% since reporting. It currently trades at $64.98.

Is now the time to buy Northwest Pipe? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q3: Lennox (NYSE: LII)

Based in Texas and founded over a century ago, Lennox (NYSE: LII) is a climate control solutions company offering heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) goods.

Lennox reported revenues of $1.43 billion, down 4.8% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 3.9%. It was a slower quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ revenue estimates.

Lennox delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates in the group. As expected, the stock is down 3.4% since the results and currently trades at $530.15.

Read our full analysis of Lennox’s results here.

CSW (NASDAQ: CSW)

With over two centuries of combined operations manufacturing and supplying, CSW (NASDAQ: CSW) offers special chemicals, coatings, sealants, and lubricants for various industries.

CSW reported revenues of $277 million, up 21.5% year on year. This result missed analysts’ expectations by 0.5%. Zooming out, it was a mixed quarter as it also produced a beat of analysts’ EPS estimates but a slight miss of analysts’ revenue estimates.

CSW delivered the fastest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is up 30.9% since reporting and currently trades at $319.35.

Read our full, actionable report on CSW here, it’s free.

Trane Technologies (NYSE: TT)

With low-pressure heating systems as its first product, Trane (NYSE: TT) designs, manufactures, and sells HVAC and refrigeration systems, the former to commercial and residential building customers and the latter to commercial truck manufacturers.

Trane Technologies reported revenues of $5.74 billion, up 5.5% year on year. This print lagged analysts' expectations by 0.9%. Taking a step back, it was a satisfactory quarter as it also recorded an impressive beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates but a slight miss of analysts’ revenue estimates.

The stock is down 10.7% since reporting and currently trades at $381.75.

Read our full, actionable report on Trane Technologies here, it’s free.

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